瑞达期货碳酸锂产业日报-20251125

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fundamentals of lithium carbonate may be in a situation of both supply and demand increasing, with positive demand expectations and inventory depletion in the industry. It is recommended to conduct light - position oscillating trading and pay attention to controlling risks in trading rhythm [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract was 95,400 yuan/ton, up 4,920 yuan; the net position of the top 20 was - 163,468 lots, up 8,642 lots; the trading volume of the main contract was 343,199 lots, down 21,879 lots; the spread between near - and far - month contracts was - 300 yuan/ton, up 280 yuan; the Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipt was 26,615 lots/ton, up 105 lots [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate was 92,050 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan; the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate was 89,650 yuan/ton, down 100 yuan; the basis of the Li₂CO₃ main contract was - 3,350 yuan/ton, down 5,020 yuan [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The average price of spodumene concentrate (6% CIF China) was 1,180 US dollars/ton, unchanged; the average price of amblygonite was 9,725 yuan/ton, unchanged; the average price of lepidolite (2 - 2.5%) was 3,769 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The monthly output of lithium carbonate was 51,530 tons, up 4,390 tons; the monthly import volume was 23,880.69 tons, up 4,283.79 tons; the monthly export volume was 245.91 tons, up 95.10 tons; the monthly operating rate of lithium carbonate enterprises was 47%, unchanged; the monthly output of power batteries was 170,600 MWh, up 19,400 MWh [2] 3.5 Downstream and Application Situation - The operating rate of ternary cathode materials was 52%, down 1%; the operating rate of lithium iron phosphate cathode was 64%, up 5%; the monthly production of new energy vehicles was 1,772,000 units, up 155,000 units; the monthly sales volume was 1,715,000 units, up 111,000 units; the cumulative sales penetration rate was 46.75%, up 0.66%; the cumulative sales volume was 12,943,000 units, up 3,193,000 units; the monthly export volume was 256,000 units, up 34,000 units; the cumulative export volume was 2,014,000 units, up 956,000 units [2] 3.6 Option Situation - The total call position was 256,470 lots, up 28,518 lots; the total put position was 202,678 lots, down 908 lots; the put - call ratio of total positions was 79.03%, down 10.2849%; the implied volatility of at - the - money IV was 0.38%, down 0.0316% [2] 3.7 Industry News - Skyrizon Co., Ltd. stated that its hexafluorophosphate lithium was expected to be at full production and full sales currently and in the first quarter of next year. Longpan Technology revised the sales volume of lithium iron phosphate cathode materials in the original agreement from 150,000 tons to 1.3 million tons. Ganfeng Lithium's vice - president believed that the lithium industry was in an upward cycle. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology launched the creation of national emerging industry development demonstration bases [2] 3.8 Technical Analysis - On the 60 - minute MACD, the double lines were above the 0 - axis and the green bars were converging [2]