有色套利早报-20251128
Yong An Qi Huo·2025-11-28 01:37

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View - The report presents cross - market, cross - period, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals including copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, and tin on November 28, 2025 [1][3][4] Summary by Related Catalogs Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - Copper: Spot price in China is 87060, LME price is 10952, and the ratio is 7.95; for three - month, the price in China is 87030, LME price is 10936, and the ratio is 7.96. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.04 with a profit of - 1077.91, and spot export profit is 539.42 [1] - Zinc: Spot price in China is 22450, LME price is 3214, and the ratio is 6.99; for three - month, the price in China is 22445, LME price is 3049, and the ratio is 5.56. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.45 with a profit of - 4718.86 [1] - Aluminum: Spot price in China is 21460, LME price is 2826, and the ratio is 7.60; for three - month, the price in China is 21545, LME price is 2854, and the ratio is 7.54. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.31 with a profit of - 2019.25 [1] - Nickel: Spot price in China is 119150, LME price is 14633, and the ratio is 8.14. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.14 with a profit of - 1696.98 [1] - Lead: Spot price in China is 16850, LME price is 1938, and the ratio is 8.72; for three - month, the price in China is 16955, LME price is 1977, and the ratio is 11.34. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.70 with a profit of 51.81 [3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - Copper: The spreads of the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month are 60, 100, 90, and 40 respectively, while the theoretical spreads are 537, 971, 1415, and 1859 [4] - Zinc: The spreads of the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month are 35, 65, 95, and 130 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 215, 336, 457, and 578 [4] - Aluminum: The spreads of the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month are 30, 75, 95, and 130 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 218, 338, 457, and 576 [4] - Lead: The spreads of the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month are 10, 10, 35, and 95 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 210, 315, 421, and 527 [4] - Nickel: The spreads of the next month, three - month, four - month, and five - month relative to the spot month are 190, 400, 610, and 890 respectively [4] - Tin: The spread of 5 - 1 is - 180, and the theoretical spread is 6234 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - Copper: The spreads of the current - month contract and the next - month contract relative to the spot are - and - 45 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 338 and 828 [4] - Zinc: The spreads of the current - month contract and the next - month contract relative to the spot are - 70 and - 35 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 139 and 269 [4] - Lead: The spreads of the current - month contract and the next - month contract relative to the spot are 95 and 105 respectively, and the theoretical spreads are 154 and 266 [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - The ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, and lead/zinc for Shanghai (triple - consecutive) are 3.88, 4.04, 5.13, 0.96, 1.27, and 0.76 respectively, and for LME (triple - consecutive) are 3.63, 3.87, 5.51, 0.94, 1.42, and 0.66 respectively [5]