中国工业:花旗深圳 - 上海产业考察-买入 SYTECH 与 Leader Drive-China Industrials_ Citi Industrial Tour in Shenzhen _ Shanghai _ Buy SYTECH and Leader Drive
2025-12-01 00:49

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to SYTECH and Leader Drive, while it has "Sell" ratings on Envicool and Topband due to rich valuations and increased competition [1][8]. Core Insights - The report highlights a shift in global market liquidity from high-beta stocks like AI and humanoid robots to low-beta stocks, driven by stretched valuations and concerns over monetization [1]. - Order growth momentum for AI infrastructure components such as PCB, CCL, liquid cooling, and power supply is expected to continue rising through 2026 [1]. - SYTECH is noted for its competitive advantage in the CCL market, being the first and only Chinese CCL player in NVIDIA's supply chain, while Leader Drive is positioned well in the US NEV and robot supply chain [1][2]. Summary by Sections AI Infrastructure Chain - The AI infrastructure supply chain, including CCL, PCB, liquid cooling, and power supply, accounts for a significant portion of AI server BOM, with CCL having a better competitive landscape due to high industry concentration [2]. - SYTECH is set to launch a five-year plan to capitalize on AI-CCL opportunities, with expectations of strong revenue and net profit growth of 30% and 164% respectively in Q4 [5]. - New entrants in the liquid cooling market are expected to challenge existing players like Envicool, which is facing increased competition [10]. Humanoid Robot Supply Chain - Leader Drive anticipates significant growth in shipments from major robotic players, with the first batch of shipments expected to reach over a thousand units this year [13]. - The emergence of new players like Xiaomi and XPENG is expected to benefit upstream component suppliers, including Leader Drive [13]. - Leader Drive is becoming a key supplier for harmonic reducers to leading US humanoid robot manufacturers, enhancing its market share [2][13]. AGV / AMR Warehouse Automation - The warehouse automation market is transitioning from traditional AGVs to more flexible AMRs, driven by e-commerce growth and labor shortages [17]. - Companies like Hangcha are expected to benefit from this transition, leveraging their existing capabilities in forklift manufacturing to enter the intelligent warehouse automation space [18][20].