公募基金权益指数跟踪周报(2025.11.24-2025.11.28):市场延续缩量,海外风险释放-20251201
HWABAO SECURITIES·2025-12-01 08:44

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Views of the Report - From November 24 to 28, 2025, small-cap stocks led the gains in the equity market, with the growth style outperforming the value style. The average daily trading volume of the entire A-share market was 1.7312 trillion yuan, continuing to decline week-on-week, and market activity remained to be restored. Near the end of the year, funds focused on performance assessment, resulting in low willingness for incremental funds to enter the market. In this environment, high-low band operations are more suitable for structural opportunities in the stock game [3][10]. - Global conflicts have been cooling down. After the trade disputes in early October, the relationship games among China, the US, and Japan are expected to become more stable, and there is also hope for peace in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. With the approaching US mid-term elections in 2026, the Trump administration may refocus on domestic issues [4][11]. - In the technology sector, during the controversy over the "bubble" of overseas AI and the short-term stock price adjustment, the market consensus in the domestic technology sector last week was concentrated on the Google industry chain. However, the current participation in the Google industry chain is more based on mapping rather than fundamental drivers, and it is difficult to quantify the future market space and industry growth rate. There is also a "pulling and stepping" phenomenon of funds within the technology sector [4][12]. - The commercial space industry showed a typical theme investment pattern in the short term, with the market following key events or policy implementations. In the long term, technological breakthroughs, accelerated launch site construction, and the implementation of terminal application scenarios will jointly promote the large-scale development of the industry [4][13]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Weekly Market Observation 1.1 Equity Market Review and Observation - Market Performance: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.40%, the CSI 300 rose 1.64%, and the ChiNext Index rose 4.54%. Small-cap stocks led the gains, and the growth style outperformed the value style. The average daily trading volume of the entire A-share market was 1.7312 trillion yuan, continuing to decline week-on-week [10]. - Market Environment: The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December once reached 85%, improving the external monetary environment. However, near the end of the year, funds focused on performance assessment, resulting in low willingness for incremental funds to enter the market. In this environment, high-low band operations are more suitable for structural opportunities in the stock game [10]. - Overseas Risk Release: Global conflicts have been cooling down. The relationship games among China, the US, and Japan are expected to become more stable, and there is also hope for peace in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. With the approaching US mid-term elections in 2026, the Trump administration may refocus on domestic issues [4][11]. - Technology Direction: The market consensus in the domestic technology sector last week was concentrated on the Google industry chain. However, the current participation in the Google industry chain is more based on mapping rather than fundamental drivers, and it is difficult to quantify the future market space and industry growth rate. There is also a "pulling and stepping" phenomenon of funds within the technology sector [4][12]. - Commercial Space: The commercial space industry showed a typical theme investment pattern in the short term, with the market following key events or policy implementations. In the long term, technological breakthroughs, accelerated launch site construction, and the implementation of terminal application scenarios will jointly promote the large-scale development of the industry [4][13]. 2. Active Equity Fund Index Performance Tracking 2.1 Active Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 2.88% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 14.64% since its establishment. The index selects 15 active equity funds based on performance competitiveness and style stability, with equal-weight allocation for each fund. The performance benchmark is the CSI Active Stock Fund Index (930980.CSI) [5][14][15]. 2.2 Value Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 1.21% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 3.70% since its establishment. The index selects 10 funds with deep value, quality value, and balanced value styles based on multi-period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Value Index (H30356.CSI) [5][14][17]. 2.3 Balanced Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 2.37% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 9.46% since its establishment. The index selects 10 relatively balanced and value-growth style funds based on multi-period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 (000906.SH) [5][14][19]. 2.4 Growth Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 4.37% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 15.15% since its establishment. The index selects 10 active growth, quality growth, and balanced growth style funds based on multi-period style classification. The performance benchmark is the CSI 800 Growth Index (H30355.CSI) [5][14][23]. 2.5 Pharmaceutical Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 4.42% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 22.11% since its establishment. The index selects 15 funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Pharmaceutical), with an average purity of not less than 60% in the past 3 years or since establishment. The performance benchmark is the pharmaceutical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities Fund Research Platform) [5][14][24]. 2.6 Consumption Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 2.85% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 19.33% since its establishment. The index selects 10 funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Automobile, Home Appliances, Commerce and Retail, Consumer Services, Textile and Apparel, Food and Beverage, Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery), with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since establishment. The performance benchmark is the consumption theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities Fund Research Platform) [5][14][27]. 2.7 Technology Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 4.24% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of 20.79% since its establishment. The index selects 10 funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Electronics, Communications, Computer, Media), with an average purity of not less than 60% in the past 3 years or since establishment. The performance benchmark is the technology theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities Fund Research Platform) [5][14][32]. 2.8 High-End Manufacturing Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 5.69% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of -1.97% since its establishment. The index selects 10 funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Construction, Light Industry Manufacturing, Machinery, Power Equipment and New Energy, National Defense and Military Industry, Electronics, Communications), with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since establishment. The performance benchmark is the high-end manufacturing theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities Fund Research Platform) [5][14][34]. 2.9 Cyclical Stock Fund Preferred Index - Performance: It rose 2.96% last week and has recorded a cumulative excess return of -0.81% since its establishment. The index selects 5 funds based on the intersection market value ratio of fund equity holdings and the representative index (CITIC Petroleum and Petrochemical, Coal, Non-Ferrous Metals, Steel, Building Materials, Basic Chemicals, Banks, Non-Bank Finance, Real Estate, Comprehensive Finance), with an average purity of not less than 50% in the past 3 years or since establishment. The performance benchmark is the cyclical theme fund index (fitted by Huabao Securities Fund Research Platform) [5][14][34].