ETF策略指数跟踪周报-20251208

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The report presents several ETF strategy indices constructed by Huabao Research, tracking their performance and positions on a weekly basis. These indices aim to achieve excess returns over the market through different methods, such as using multi - dimensional technical indicators, factor timing, and hot - spot tracking [4][5][6]. 3. Summary by Directory 1.1. Huabao Research Size Rotation ETF Strategy Index - Strategy: Uses multi - dimensional technical indicator factors and a machine - learning model to predict the return difference between the Shenwan Large - Cap Index and the Shenwan Small - Cap Index, deciding positions based on weekly output signals [4][14]. - Performance: As of 2025/12/5, the excess return since 2024 is 20.30%, the excess return in the recent month is 0.36%, and the excess return in the recent week is 0.09%. The index return last week was 1.28%, compared to the CSI 800's 1.19% [4][13][14]. - Position: Holds 100% of the SSE 50 ETF (510300.SH) [18]. 1.2. Huabao Research SmartBeta Enhanced ETF Strategy Index - Strategy: Utilizes price - volume indicators to time self - built Barra factors and maps timing signals to ETFs based on their exposures to 9 major Barra factors, covering mainstream broad - based index ETFs and some style/strategy ETFs [4]. - Performance: As of 2025/12/5, the excess return since 2024 is 22.66%, the excess return in the recent month is 4.21%, and the excess return in the recent week is - 1.48%. The index return last week was - 0.29%, compared to the CSI 800's 1.19% [4][13][18]. - Position: Holds 25.07% of 300 Dividend Low - Volatility ETF (515300.SH), 25.01% of SSE 300 Dividend ETF (512530.SH), 25.00% of Dividend ETF (510880.SH), and 24.91% of Dividend Low - Volatility ETF (512890.SH) [22]. 1.3. Huabao Research Quantitative Fire - Wheel ETF Strategy Index - Strategy: Adopts a multi - factor approach, including long - and medium - term fundamental analysis, short - term market trend tracking, and analysis of market participants' behaviors. It uses valuation and crowding signals to indicate industry risks and discovers potential sectors [5][22]. - Performance: As of 2025/12/5, the excess return since 2024 is 33.49%, the excess return in the recent month is - 0.60%, and the excess return in the recent week is - 0.54%. The index return last week was 0.65%, compared to the CSI 800's 1.19% [5][13][22]. - Position: Holds 21.18% of Oil and Gas ETF (159697.SZ), 20.71% of Bank ETF (512800.SH), 19.62% of Power ETF (159611.SZ), 19.38% of Securities and Insurance ETF (512070.SH), and 19.10% of New Energy ETF (516160.SH) [26]. 1.4. Huabao Research Quantitative Balance ETF Strategy Index - Strategy: Employs a multi - factor system including economic fundamentals, liquidity, technical aspects, and investor behavior to build a quantitative timing system for equity market trend judgment. It also predicts the market's large - and small - cap styles to adjust equity market positions [5][26]. - Performance: As of 2025/12/5, the excess return since 2024 is - 10.54%, the excess return in the recent month is 1.15%, and the excess return in the recent week is - 0.71%. The index return last week was 0.57%, compared to the SSE 300's 1.28% [5][13][26]. - Position: Holds 9.34% of 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF (511260.SH), 5.91% of 500ETF Enhanced (159610.SZ), 5.80% of CSI 1000ETF (512100.SH), 32.51% of 300 Enhanced ETF (561300.SH), 23.23% of Short - Term Financing ETF (511360.SH), and 23.20% of Policy Financial Bond ETF (511520.SH) [30]. 1.5. Huabao Research Hot - Spot Tracking ETF Strategy Index - Strategy: Tracks and discovers hot - spot index products through market sentiment analysis, industry event tracking, investor sentiment and professional opinions, policy and regulation changes, and historical analysis, constructing an ETF portfolio to capture market hot - spots [6][29]. - Performance: As of 2025/12/5, the excess return in the recent month is 3.47%, and the excess return in the recent week is 1.17%. The index return last week was 1.94%, compared to the CSI All - Share Index's 0.77% [6][13][29]. - Position: Holds 36.33% of Non - Ferrous Metals 50ETF (159652.SZ), 24.20% of Hong Kong Stock Dividend ETF Bosera (513690.SH), 20.83% of Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical ETF (513200.SH), and 18.65% of Short - Term Financing ETF (511360.SH) [32]. 1.6. Huabao Research Bond ETF Duration Strategy Index - Strategy: Uses bond market liquidity and price - volume indicators to select effective timing factors and predicts bond yields through machine learning. It reduces long - duration positions in the bond portfolio when the expected yield is below a certain threshold [6][32]. - Performance: As of 2025/12/5, the excess return in the recent month is 0.39%, and the excess return in the recent week is 0.20%. The index return last week was - 0.11%, compared to the ChinaBond Aggregate Index's - 0.32% [6][13][32]. - Position: Holds 50.01% of 10 - Year Treasury Bond ETF (511260.SH), 25.00% of Treasury Bond ETF 5 - 10 Years (511020.SH), and 24.98% of Policy Financial Bond ETF (511520.SH) [36].