碳酸锂期货日报-20251209

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Carbonate Lithium Futures Daily Report [1] - Date: December 9, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Non - ferrous Metals Research Team [4] - Researchers: Zhang Ping, Yu Feifei, Peng Jinglin [3][4] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 3: Core View - Carbonate lithium futures rose. The expected resumption of the Jianxiawo mine did not happen. With the spot price remaining firm, the downward pressure on carbonate lithium is limited. Although the weekly destocking volume of carbonate lithium has been declining since late November and the weekly production of ternary and lithium iron phosphate decreased last week, considering market sentiment and spot support, the futures price of lithium is expected to rise slightly with fluctuations, but it is unlikely to break the previous high in the short term [9] Group 4: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Carbonate lithium futures increased. The 01 contract quickly rebounded after falling below 90,000 in the morning. The spot price dropped by 500 to 92,750, the discount in the trading market remained the same, Australian ore rose by 15 to 1,172.5, lithium mica rose by 20 to 2,535, ternary materials rose by 0 - 50, lithium iron phosphate fell by 120 - 125, and electrolyte rose by 500. The upward price trend in the industrial chain continued [9] Group 5: Industry News - Rio Tinto tightened its lithium business expansion plan, limiting investment in ongoing projects. It aims to achieve an annual capacity of about 200,000 tons by 2028, down from the previous guidance of 225,000 tons. The company is confident in the long - term lithium demand, especially in the grid energy storage field, but will prioritize existing projects and control capital expenditure [13] - Dazhong Mining announced that the Jijiaoshan lithium mine has a resource volume of about 490 million tons, corresponding to about 3.24 million tons of lithium carbonate equivalent. The designed open - pit mining scale is 20 million tons per year, with an expected annual output of about 80,000 tons of lithium carbonate. The company obtained the mining license in October this year with a 30 - year validity [13]