经济财政实力与债务研究

Economic Performance - Heilongjiang Province's GDP reached 1.65 trillion yuan in 2024, ranking 25th among all provinces in China, with a year-on-year growth of 3.2%, which is 1.8 percentage points lower than the national average[2] - The province's primary industry added value was 320.3 billion yuan, growing by 2.9%, while the secondary industry saw a decline of 0.2% to 414.7 billion yuan, and the tertiary industry grew by 4.7% to 912.6 billion yuan[2][22] - In the first three quarters of 2025, Heilongjiang's GDP was 1.15 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8%, still below the national growth rate of 5.2%[2] Fiscal Strength - Heilongjiang's general public budget revenue was 145.2 billion yuan in 2024, a 4.0% increase, ranking 25th among provinces, with a tax ratio of 60.0%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous year[5][35] - The province's budget self-sufficiency rate was only 22.5% in 2024, indicating a high reliance on upper-level subsidies, which accounted for 45.6% of total fiscal revenue[5][33] - In the first half of 2025, the general public budget revenue was 77.3 billion yuan, a 3.4% increase, with a self-sufficiency rate improving to 27.7%[5][44] Debt Situation - By the end of 2024, Heilongjiang's government debt reached 962.8 billion yuan, an increase of 113.0 billion yuan from the previous year, ranking 24th nationally[8] - The ratio of local government debt to general public budget revenue was 6.63 times, placing it 7th highest in the country, indicating a heavy debt burden relative to fiscal capacity[8] - As of September 2025, the total government debt had risen to 1.063 trillion yuan, maintaining its 24th position among provinces[8] Regional Economic Disparities - Harbin and Daqing are the leading cities, with GDPs of 601.6 billion yuan and 281.6 billion yuan respectively, together accounting for 53.6% of the province's total GDP[3][49] - In 2024, 10 cities experienced economic growth while 3 cities (Qitaihe, Hegang, and Jixi) faced declines, with Qitaihe's GDP dropping by 7.2%[3][50] - The economic structure is increasingly dominated by the tertiary sector, with 8 cities having over 50% of their GDP from services in 2024[3][53]