宝通证券：港股周报：恒指跌10點，滬指跌27點，標普500升14點-20251212

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at 25,530 points, down 10 points or less than 0.1%[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) fell 27 points or 0.7%, closing at 3,873 points[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong was HKD 182.48 billion[1] Currency and Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China adjusted the RMB/USD central parity rate up by 67 pips to 7.0686[1] - A total of CNY 118.6 billion in seven-day reverse repos was conducted at a steady rate of 1.4%[1] - There was a net withdrawal of CNY 62.2 billion for the day due to CNY 180.8 billion in reverse repos maturing[1] Automotive Market Insights - The Chinese passenger car market is expected to see a vehicle replacement scale exceeding CNY 180 billion in 2025, with tax incentives for new energy vehicles at 10%[2] - In November, car exports reached 728,000 units, a month-on-month increase of 9.3% and a year-on-year increase of 48.5%[3] - The total number of car exports from China for the first eleven months of the year was 6.343 million units, reflecting an annual growth of 18.7%[3] Business Sentiment - 48.3% of surveyed Hong Kong businesses have a positive outlook for the next 12 months, a significant increase from 18.3% last year[3] - Only 15.3% of companies expressed a pessimistic view for 2026, down from 44.3% the previous year[3] - The Hong Kong General Chamber of Commerce forecasts a real economic growth of 2.7% for 2026, with an overall inflation rate of 1.8%[3]