集运指数日报-20251219

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Title: "集运指数日报" [1] - Date: December 19, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided. Group 3: Core View - The SCFIS index has slightly rebounded and stabilized this week. Shipping companies' price hikes have boosted market sentiment, but the actual online prices of some shipping companies are lower than the price increase notices, which may dampen bullish sentiment. The market may engage in incentive games for the pre - Spring Festival shipping peak, and the spot price may reach a high in early January. Attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities for the April contract in the off - season and positive spread trading opportunities between the February and April contracts [8]. Group 4: Summary of Each Section 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Spot Market: The SCFIS index has slightly rebounded and stabilized this week. Shipping companies continue to raise prices, but the online prices of MSC and Maersk in January are lower than the announced price increase levels, which may dampen bullish sentiment. The spot price may peak in early January, and attention should be paid to short - selling opportunities for the April contract and positive spread trading opportunities between the February and April contracts [8]. 2. Industry News - From December 8th to 12th, China's export container transportation demand was generally stable. The comprehensive index rose due to the year - end contract signing season. The European, Mediterranean, and North American routes all saw price increases in spot market booking prices. On December 15th, multiple shipping companies announced price increases for multiple international routes. Maersk and Hapag - Lloyd announced increases in peak - season surcharges. There are also some geopolitical news, such as the situation in Gaza and the possible resumption of Maersk's Red Sea - Suez Canal navigation [9][10]. 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - The Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index shows that the European route increased by 0.1% from December 8th to 15th, while the US West route decreased by 3.8% [12]. 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures Market - The trading data of container shipping European line futures on December 18th shows that most contracts had price declines, with different degrees of decline and changes in trading volume and open interest [6]. 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - There are multiple charts showing data related to container shipping, such as container ship capacity in Europe, global container ship orders, Shanghai - Europe basic port freight rates, etc. [13][15][16][20]