土耳其国别研究专题系列报告：土耳其深度洞察：埃尔多安经济学的破局与转型

Economic Overview - Turkey's economy is currently influenced by "Erdoganomics," facing high inflation and structural contradictions[38] - The nominal GDP reached approximately $860 billion in 2015, nearly doubling from $440 billion in 2003, with a CPI growth rate below 12% for over a decade[39] - Turkey's energy import dependency is high, with 77.5% of energy products imported as of 2023, down from a peak of 85% in 2015[19] Geopolitical Position - Turkey serves as a strategic hub connecting Europe, Asia, and Africa, historically a key node on the Silk Road[5] - The Turkish Straits are crucial for maritime trade, controlling the only passage from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, impacting regional geopolitical dynamics[10] - Turkey's diplomatic strategy has shifted from a Western-centric approach to a multi-faceted alliance, emphasizing relations with Middle Eastern and non-Western countries[28] Industrial and Investment Insights - Turkey has a strong industrial base, particularly in automotive and textiles, but faces challenges from high inflation and weak domestic and external demand[5] - The country is actively seeking to upgrade its industrial structure and attract foreign investment to improve its current account balance and reserve levels[5] - Recent collaborations between China and Turkey focus on clean energy, electric vehicles, and high-tech industries, aligning with China's Belt and Road Initiative[5] Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include rising oil prices leading to inflation and currency depreciation, improper capital controls causing reserve depletion, and escalating regional conflicts affecting diplomatic relations[5]