2025-12-21 08:37Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the beauty and personal care sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [6]. Core Insights - The beauty and personal care sector has experienced a significant pullback since August, with leading high-growth companies' valuations returning to 20-30x, and PEG ratios mostly below 1x, suggesting the sector is expected to bottom out [3][6]. - Lin Qingxuan is set to go public, focusing on the oil-based skincare segment, with a projected doubling of performance in the first half of 2025 [3][6]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The beauty and personal care sector saw a decline of over 15% since August, with leading companies experiencing a valuation correction to 20-30x. The sector's maximum drawdown reached 17%, with top companies seeing declines of over 30% [6][8]. - The Shenyuan Beauty Care Index recorded a maximum increase of 19% in 2025, with key growth stocks like Ruoyuchen, Shangmei, and Maogeping achieving maximum gains of 239%, 198%, and 121% respectively [6][8]. Company Highlights - Lin Qingxuan, which is set to launch its IPO, plans to issue 13.97 million shares at an offering price of 77.77 HKD per share, corresponding to a market capitalization of 10.9 billion HKD. The company has secured cornerstone investors including Fidelity and others, with total subscriptions reaching 62 million USD [6][8]. - Lin Qingxuan's revenue for the first half of 2025 is projected at 1.05 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 98%, with a net profit of 182 million CNY, up 110%. The company's main product, a camellia oil essence, generated 480 million CNY in revenue, marking a 176% increase [6][8]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a bottom-up selection of stocks with product and channel innovations, highlighting strong growth potential in the beauty and personal care sector. Recommended stocks include: 1. High-growth brands: Ruoyuchen, Shangmei, Maogeping 2. Stable fundamentals with potential for improvement: Dengkang Oral, Shanghai Jahwa, Shuiyang, Jinbo Biological, Beitaini, Marubi, Qingsong 3. Stocks expected to bottom out: Pola, Juzibio, Lafang, Runben, Meilitiantian Medical Health, Furida, Huaxi Biological [6][7].