国泰海通证券开放式基金周报(20251221)：均衡风格配置，重视科技、非银、消费-20251221

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Group 2: Core View of the Report - The report suggests an equal - style asset allocation, with emphasis on technology, non - banking, and consumer sectors. It believes that the "transformation bull market" in China will regain momentum, and the cross - year offensive has begun. For the bond market, the weak and volatile pattern may continue until after the cross - year period. In the long run of low - level long - term capital interest rates, there is no trend investment opportunity in money market funds. From the perspective of long - term investment and hedging, gold ETFs can be appropriately allocated [3][4][15]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Last Week's Market Review - A - shares: A - shares showed a pattern of first decline and then rise. The large - consumer and non - banking sectors performed well. The release of relevant policies catalyzed the strength of the large - consumer and non - banking sectors. As of December 19, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.03% for the whole week, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.89%. In terms of styles, value outperformed growth. The trading volume of the two A - share markets decreased compared with the previous week. Among the industries, 19 out of 31 industries in the Shenwan primary industry classification rose [7]. - Bond market: The bond market fluctuated and rose. After the release of November's financial and economic data, the "supportive" tone is expected to continue next year. The yields of various bonds generally declined, the credit spread widened, the term spread narrowed, and the convertible bond index rose [8]. - Overseas market: US stocks fluctuated. European stock markets generally rose, while Asia - Pacific markets mostly declined. The US dollar index rose. Oil prices continued to fall due to pessimistic expectations about the US and global economic recoveries, while gold prices rose [9]. 2. Last Week's Fund Market Review - Stock funds: Stock - type funds fell 0.56% last week. Some funds heavily invested in the consumer and satellite sectors performed well. Index stock - type funds fell 0.54%, and actively - managed open - end stock funds fell 0.62% [10]. - Hybrid funds: Actively - managed open - end hybrid funds fell 0.42%. Among index funds, themes such as satellite, insurance, and petrochemical performed well [12]. - Bond funds: Bond - type funds rose 0.09%. Among them, index bond - type funds rose 0.11%, and actively - managed open - end bond funds rose 0.09%. Partially - debt funds and convertible - bond funds with non - banking and non - ferrous metals in the equity part performed well. Pure - bond funds mainly invested in high - grade credit bonds and medium - to long - term bonds performed well [12]. - Money market funds: The annualized yield of money market funds was 1.24% [12]. - QDII funds: Equity - type QDII funds fell 1.87%. Funds mainly investing in the Vietnamese market, US consumer stocks, and gold performed well. QDII bond - type funds rose 0.18% [13]. - Gold ETFs and their linked funds: Gold ETFs and their linked funds rose 1.15%, and commodity - type funds rose 1.02% [14]. 3. Future Investment Strategy - Stock and hybrid funds: Policy expectations are expected to be revised upwards, market trading is expected to be active. The "transformation bull market" in China will regain momentum, and the cross - year offensive has begun. It is advisable to adopt an equal - style allocation and focus on technology, non - banking, and consumer sectors [16]. - Bond funds: The weak and volatile pattern of the bond market may continue until after the cross - year period. It is recommended to focus on interest - rate bonds with flexible durations and products heavily invested in high - grade and highly - liquid credit bonds [17]. - Money market funds: There is no trend investment opportunity in the context of long - term low - level capital interest rates [17]. - Commodity funds: Gold ETFs can be appropriately allocated from the perspectives of long - term investment and hedging [17]. 4. Latest Fund Market Developments - Hong Kong - stock new funds: Since early October, 15 new Hong Kong - stock theme funds have ended their fundraising ahead of schedule. Many technology - theme ETFs have quickly increased their stock positions after establishment, showing a characteristic of "rapid issuance and construction" [18]. - QDII funds: On December 18, the subscription limit of the RMB share of the Morgan Nasdaq 100 Index Fund was adjusted to 10 yuan. Under the dual pressures of rigid foreign - exchange quota supply and strong overseas - allocation demand from investors, the investment enthusiasm for QDII funds is high, and many QDII funds have high premiums in the secondary market [19]. - Newly - established funds last week: A total of 34 new funds were established last week, with an average subscription period of about 21 days and an average raised share of 539 million. The total raised share was 1.8321 billion, and the largest - raised fund was the Xin'ao Fengxiang Interest - rate Bond Fund, with 5.251 billion shares [20]. - Fund dividends next week: There will be 64 fund shares for ex - rights registration in the coming days. The most notable one is the Huabao CSI 300 Index Enhancement Fund, which will distribute a dividend of 3.1 yuan per 10 shares [21].