公募基金泛固收指数跟踪周报(2025.12.15-2025.12.19):情绪持续修复,仍偏震荡思维-20251222
HWABAO SECURITIES·2025-12-22 09:28
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The bond market continued to recover last week, with yields on various tenors generally declining. The bullish sentiment in the bond market has rebounded, but the space for further capital gains may be limited. A neutral and oscillatory mindset is advisable [3]. - The yields of money market funds have been continuously declining, and multiple money market funds have imposed purchase restrictions [4][13]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog 3.1. Pan-fixed-income Market Review and Observation 3.1.1. Bond Market Performance - Last week (December 15 - December 19, 2025), the 1-year, 10-year, and 30-year Treasury yields decreased by 3.32BP, 0.88BP, and 2.35BP to 1.35%, 1.83%, and 2.23% respectively. The bullish sentiment in the bond market has recovered [3]. - US Treasury yields declined across the board last week. The 1-year, 2-year, and 10-year US Treasury yields decreased by 3BP, 4BP, and 3BP to 3.51%, 3.48%, and 4.16% respectively [12]. 3.1.2. REITs Market Performance - Last week, the CSI REITs Total Return Index fell 2.85% to 999.19 points. The highway and rental housing sectors led the decline. In the primary market, 4 new public REITs made progress last week [12]. 3.2. Public Fund Market Dynamics - The yields of money market funds have been continuously declining. As of December 16, the median seven-day annualized yield of money market funds was 1.24%, and over a hundred funds had a yield of less than 1%. Multiple funds have announced short-term purchase restrictions [4][13]. 3.3. Pan-fixed-income Fund Index Performance Tracking 3.3.1. Overall Performance | Index Classification | Weekly Return | Cumulative Return Since Inception | | --- | --- | --- | | Money Enhancement Index | 0.03% | 4.43% | | Short-term Bond Fund Selection | 0.04% | 4.57% | | Medium- and Long-term Bond Fund Selection | 0.08% | 6.77% | | Low-volatility Fixed-income + Fund Selection | 0.22% | 4.49% | | Medium-volatility Fixed-income + Fund Selection | 0.12% | 6.25% | | High-volatility Fixed-income + Fund Selection | 0.13% | 8.00% | | Convertible Bond Fund Selection | 0.01% | 22.42% | | QDII Bond Fund Selection | 0.05% | 10.05% | | REITs Fund Selection | -2.22% | 29.35% | [6] 3.3.2. Index Positioning - Money Enhancement Strategy Index: Aims for liquidity management, targeting a curve that outperforms money market funds. It mainly invests in money market funds and interbank certificate of deposit index funds. The performance benchmark is the CSI Money Market Fund Index [15]. - Short-term Bond Fund Selection Index: Focuses on liquidity management, aiming for a smooth curve with controlled drawdowns. It selects 5 funds with stable long-term returns, strict drawdown control, and significant absolute return capabilities. The performance benchmark is 50% * Short-term Pure Bond Fund Index + 50% * General Money Market Fund Index [18]. - Medium- and Long-term Bond Fund Selection Index: Seeks stable returns by investing in medium- and long-term pure bond funds. It aims for excess returns relative to the medium- and long-term bond fund index and a steady upward net value curve. It adjusts the duration and the ratio of credit bond funds to interest rate bond funds according to market conditions [20]. - Low-volatility Fixed-income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 10%. It selects 10 fixed-income + funds with an equity position of less than 15% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 10% * CSI 800 Index + 90% * ChinaBond New Composite Full Price Index [22]. - Medium-volatility Fixed-income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 20%. It selects 5 fixed-income + funds with an equity position between 15% - 25% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 20% * CSI 800 Index + 80% * ChinaBond New Composite Full Price Index [26]. - High-volatility Fixed-income + Selection Index: The equity center is set at 30%. It selects 5 fixed-income + funds with an equity position between 25% - 35% in the past three years and recently. The performance benchmark is 30% * CSI 800 Index + 70% * ChinaBond New Composite Full Price Index [27]. - Convertible Bond Fund Selection Index: Selects 5 bond funds with a high proportion of convertible bond investments. It constructs an evaluation system from multiple dimensions to select the best funds [31]. - QDII Bond Fund Selection Index: The underlying assets are overseas bonds. It selects 6 funds with stable returns and good risk control [34]. - REITs Fund Selection Index: The underlying assets are high-quality infrastructure projects. It selects 10 funds with stable operations, reasonable valuations, and certain elasticity [35].