油脂油料早报-20251223

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report The report presents comprehensive information on the overnight market of oilseeds and oils, including the export inspection, sales, and shipment data of US soybeans and soybean products, the production and export data of Brazilian soybeans, and the import data of various oils and oilseeds in China, as well as the price and basis data of related products [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Information - US Soybean Export Inspection: As of the week ending December 18, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 870,199 tons, meeting expectations. The export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland was 386,010 tons, accounting for 44.36% of the total. So far in this crop year, the cumulative US soybean export inspection volume is 14,586,856 tons, compared with 27,027,931 tons in the same period of the previous year [1]. - US Soybean Export Sales: As of the week ending December 4, 2025, the net increase in US soybean export sales in the current market year was 1.5521 million tons, a 40% increase from the previous week and a 34% increase from the average of the previous four weeks, meeting market expectations. The net increase in export sales to the Chinese mainland was 1.011 million tons. The soybean export shipment volume was 1.0711 million tons, a 33% increase from the previous week and a 6% increase from the average of the previous four weeks [1]. - US Soybean and Product Export Sales Forecast: Analysts expect that as of the week ending December 11, 2025, the net increase in US soybean export sales will be 1.8 - 2.9 million tons, the net increase in US soybean meal export sales will be 275,000 - 550,000 tons, and the net increase in US soybean oil export sales will be 50,000 - 240,000 tons [1]. - Brazilian Soybean Production and Export: AgRural raised its forecast for Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production to 180.4 million tons, up from the previous forecast of 178.5 million tons in November. Brazil exported 2,442,367.61 tons of soybeans in the first three weeks of December, with an average daily export volume of 162,824.51 tons, a 70% increase from the average daily export volume in December of the previous year [1]. - China's Import Data: In November 2025, China's palm oil imports were 334,052.37 tons, a 52.25% month - on - month increase and a 97.79% year - on - year increase. China's rapeseed imports were 1,998.30 tons, a 99.72% year - on - year decrease. China's rapeseed meal imports were 214,741.88 tons, a 2.44% month - on - month decrease and a 132.96% year - on - year increase. China's rapeseed oil imports were 165,541.10 tons, a 17.65% month - on - month increase and a 16.80% year - on - year decrease [1]. - Malaysian Palm Oil Data: According to SGS, Malaysia's palm oil product exports from December 1 - 20, 2025, were 676,674 tons, a 43.60% increase from the same period of the previous month. According to AmSpec, the exports were 821,442 tons, a 0.87% decrease from the same period of the previous month. The palm oil production from December 1 - 20, 2025, in Malaysia decreased by 7.15% month - on - month [1]. Spot Price The report provides the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from December 16 - 22, 2025 [3].