瑞达期货红枣产业日报-20251224
Rui Da Qi Huo·2025-12-24 09:08
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The follow - up market trend depends on the peak - season consumption performance. If terminal demand is released as expected, inventory clearance may speed up and support price stability; if consumption falls short of expectations, existing inventory pressure may intensify. With short - term supply being loose and demand showing no obvious improvement, the jujube price is expected to remain weak. [2] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract for jujube is 8,890 yuan/ton, with a increase of 140 yuan. The main contract's open interest is 117,319 lots, a decrease of 11,950 lots. [2] - The net long position of the top 20 futures holders is - 12,784 lots, an increase of 1,373 lots. The number of warehouse receipts is 1,092, and the total valid warehouse receipt forecast is 675, a decrease of 394. [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The prices of jujube in various regions are mostly stable, with only the price of Hebei's top - grade jujube slightly decreasing by 0.03 yuan/kg to 9.53 yuan/kg. [2] 3.3 Upstream Market - The annual jujube output is 6.069 million tons, an increase of 3.187 million tons, and the planting area is 1.993 million hectares, a decrease of 41,000 hectares. [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The national jujube inventory is 16,108 tons, an increase of 318 tons. The monthly export volume is 3,537,566 kg, an increase of 1,332,346 kg, and the cumulative monthly export volume is 29,291,188 kg, an increase of 3,537,566 kg. [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The cumulative quarterly sales volume of Hao Xiang Ni's jujube is 36,480.43 tons, a decrease of 2,981.06 tons, and the cumulative year - on - year production growth rate is 1.47%, a decrease of 34.59 percentage points. [2] - The average daily number of trucks arriving at the Ruyifang market is 5.13, a decrease of 0.25 trucks. The monthly average wholesale price of jujube is 10.33 yuan/kg, an increase of 0.46 yuan/kg. [2] 3.6 Industry News - In Hebei's Cui'erzhuang market, there is a small amount of goods arriving, and due to the weather, the number of purchasing customers is average. In the Guangdong Ruyifang market, 2 trucks of jujube arrive, and the price is stable. The Xinjiang procurement is almost over, with some merchants still looking for goods and storing them in dry warehouses in Xinjiang. [2]