广发期货《金融》日报-20251226
Guang Fa Qi Huo·2025-12-26 11:18
  1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the reports [1][2][3][4] 2. Core Views of the Reports 2.1. Index Futures Spread Report - Presents detailed data on various index futures spreads including IF, IH, IC, and IM, such as current values, changes from the previous day, historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles [1] 2.2. Bond Futures Basis and Spread Report - Provides data on bond futures basis (TS, TF, T, TL) and spreads, including IRR, current values, changes from the previous day, and percentiles since listing [2] 2.3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Report - In the long - term, gold prices may rise due to early capital allocation. Short - term, the market will be in a strong - side shock. For silver, beware of the risk of speculative long - positions taking profits at high levels. Platinum and palladium are expected to rise in the medium - to - long - term, but there may be short - term corrections [3] 2.4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Report - Shows data on container shipping indexes, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data, including shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, export amounts, and overseas economic data [4] 3. Summary of Each Report by Section 3.1. Index Futures Spread Report 3.1.1. Spread Data - IF spread: F - period spread is 7.12, H - period spread is 1.16, with corresponding changes and percentiles [1] - IH, IC, IM spreads: Provide current values, changes, and percentiles for different spread types (e.g., inter - period spreads) [1] 3.1.2. Cross - Variety Ratios - Ratios such as CSI 500/CSI 300, CSI 500/SSE 50, etc., with current values, changes, and percentiles [1] 3.2. Bond Futures Basis and Spread Report 3.2.1. Basis Data - TS, TF, T, TL basis: Provide IRR, current values, changes, and percentiles since listing [2] 3.2.2. Spread Data - Inter - period spreads for TF, T, TL, and cross - variety spreads (e.g., TS - TF, TS - T) with current values, changes, and percentiles [2] 3.3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Report 3.3.1. Futures Closing Prices - Domestic futures (AU2602, AG2602, etc.) and foreign - market futures (COMEX gold, COMEX silver, etc.) with closing prices, changes, and percentage changes [3] 3.3.2. Spot Prices - London gold, London silver, and domestic spot prices (SGE gold, SGE silver, etc.) with prices, changes, and percentage changes [3] 3.3.3. Basis and Ratios - Basis data (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract) and price ratios (e.g., COMEX gold/silver) with current values, changes, and percentiles [3] 3.3.4. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - 10 - year US Treasury yield, 2 - year US Treasury yield, etc., with current values, changes, and percentage changes [3] 3.3.5. Inventory and Positions - Shanghai Futures Exchange gold and silver inventories, COMEX gold and silver inventories, etc., with values, changes, and percentage changes [3] 3.4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Report 3.4.1. Shipping Indexes - SCFIS (European and US - West routes), SCFI comprehensive index, and its sub - indexes (European, US - West, US - East) with prices, changes, and percentage changes [4] 3.4.2. Futures Prices and Basis - Futures contract prices (EC2602, EC2604, etc.) and basis (main contract) with values, changes, and percentage changes [4] 3.4.3. Fundamental Data - Shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators (Shanghai port on - time rate, port calls), export amounts, and overseas economic data (eurozone PMI, US manufacturing PMI, etc.) with values, changes, and percentage changes [4]