农产品早报-20251229

Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: Agricultural Products Morning Report [1] - Report Date: December 29, 2025 [1] - Research Team: Agricultural Products Team of the Research Center [1] Group 2: Corn/Starch Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: Changchun corn price remained at 2160; Jinzhou increased by 20 to 2250; Weifang remained at 2250; Shekou decreased by 10 to 2390; Heilongjiang and Weifang starch prices remained at 2750 and 2800 respectively; starch base difference decreased by 30 [2] Market Analysis - Short - term: Corn market sentiment is weak due to policy, but farmers' price - holding limits supply, and post - New Year downstream replenishment may drive up prices; starch de - stocking slows down, but price adjustment is limited, and post - New Year prices may rise slightly [3] - Long - term: Corn should focus on import and storage auction policies; starch should focus on downstream consumption rhythm and inventory de - stocking [3] Group 3: Sugar Price Data - From December 22 to 24, 2025: Liuzhou price remained at 5380 on the 22nd and 23rd, and increased to 5420 on the 24th; Nanning increased by 10 to 5340; Kunming increased to 5240; Liuzhou base difference decreased by 16 [4][5] - From December 25 to 26, 2025: Liuzhou remained at 5420; Nanning increased to 5350; Liuzhou base difference decreased to 135 [20] Market Analysis - Short - term: Reduced supply pressure on raw sugar, and the market price can refer to domestic sugar cost and spot price; short covering drives up the market [6] - Long - term: If the global sugar market surplus intensifies, the price will seek the out - of - quota import cost; pay attention to weather and policy changes [6] Group 4: Cotton/Cotton Yarn Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: 3128 cotton increased by 285 to 15285; Vietnam yarn price remained at 2.53; Vietnam yarn import profit increased by 94 to 1039; 32S spinning profit decreased by 199 to - 639 [10] Market Analysis - Low initial inventory offsets most of the output increase, and future consumption is the key; with expanding textile production, good profits, and favorable tariff policies, long - term long positions are suitable [10] Group 5: Eggs Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: Hebei, Liaoning, Shandong, Henan, and Hubei egg prices remained stable; the base difference increased by 72 to 357 [15] Market Analysis - The inflection point of egg inventory has appeared but the base is still high. The key to inventory decline is the culling rhythm. If culling accelerates, it will benefit the second - quarter egg price [16] Group 6: Apples Price Data - From December 22 to 26, 2025: Shandong 80 first - and second - grade apples remained at 8900; the national inventory decreased by 3; Shandong inventory decreased by 39; Shaanxi inventory decreased by 19 [18][19] Market Analysis - The trading atmosphere in the late - Fuji apple production area is light, and the sales in the sales area are slow. The market is in a high - level shock and is expected to show a near - strong and far - weak pattern [19] Group 7: Pigs Price Data - From December 22 to 25, 2025: Henan Kaifeng increased to 11.78; Hubei Xiangyang increased to 11.65; Shandong Linyi increased to 11.92; Anhui Hefei increased to 12.15; Jiangsu Nantong increased to 12.20 [19] Market Analysis - The weekend spot price increased significantly. There are expectations of both supply and demand increase before the Spring Festival. Pay attention to the slaughter rhythm, diseases, and policies [19]