广发期货日评-20251230

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The report provides daily views on various futures contracts, with some expected to be volatile and strong (e.g., aluminum AL2602, methanol MA2605, and iron ore 12605), some for short - term long attempts (e.g., iron ore 12605), and others with different trends and corresponding trading suggestions [3]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Daily Selected Views - Aluminum AL2602, methanol MA2605, and iron ore 12605 are expected to be volatile and strong [3]. - Iron ore 12605 is suggested for short - term long attempts [3]. 2. All - Variety Daily Reviews Financial Futures - Stock Index Futures: Short - term negative factors are exhausted, and the index has rebounded. It is recommended to hold bull spread portfolios and sell near - month out - of - the - money call options. Before the holiday, there may be capital withdrawals, and short - term fluctuations are possible [3]. - Treasury Bond Futures: It is expected that the interest rate upper - limit will not deviate significantly from 1.85%. T2603 should pay attention to the support around 107.6 - 107.8. It is suggested to avoid long - term bonds for now and wait and see for the short - term [3]. - Precious Metals: After the sharp rise, there was a significant correction. It is recommended to wait for the price to fall back and then allocate gold. For platinum and palladium, it is recommended to wait until the post - holiday trend stabilizes [3]. Commodity Futures - Shipping Index: The EC2602 contract is expected to be volatile in the short term [3]. - Steel Products: Steel production is cut, and inventory is reduced. The price of rebar RB2605 is expected to fluctuate between 3000 - 3200 yuan, and that of hot - rolled coil is expected to fluctuate between 3200 - 3350 yuan [3]. - Iron Ore: The price is supported by the expectation of steel mill restocking, and supply is in the off - season. Short - term trading within the range of 770 - 840 is recommended [3]. - Coking Coal: The price has reached the peak and is falling back. It is recommended to short at high positions within the range of 1000 - 1200 [3]. - Coke: The fourth - round price cut has started. It is recommended to short at high positions within the range of 1650 - 1800 [3]. - Ferrosilicon: Production cuts have eased the supply - demand contradiction, and it is expected to fluctuate at the bottom within the range of 5500 - 5700 [3]. - Manganese Silicon: The price is supported by manganese ore, and short - term trading is recommended. Try shorting when the price rebounds above the Ningxia spot cost [3]. - Non - ferrous Metals: - Copper: The speculative sentiment has cooled down. It is recommended to take profits on long positions at high positions [3]. - Aluminum: The sentiment of non - ferrous metals is resonant. It is recommended to buy at low positions within the range of 21800 - 22800 [3]. - Zinc: The TC of zinc ore has stopped falling. It is recommended to continue holding the inter - market reverse arbitrage [3]. - Tin: It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - Nickel: The price is falling. It is recommended to reduce long positions [3]. - Stainless Steel: It is recommended to reduce long positions [3]. - New Energy: - Industrial Silicon: The futures price is weakening. It is expected to fluctuate between 8000 - 8800 [3]. - Polysilicon: It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - Lithium Carbonate: It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - Chemical Industry: - PX: It is recommended to exit long positions, and short - term shorting is recommended for the aggressive. In the medium - term, low - buying is recommended [3]. - PTA: Similar to PX, it is recommended to exit long positions, and short - term shorting is recommended for the aggressive. In the medium - term, low - buying is recommended [3]. - Short - fiber: The trading strategy is the same as that of PTA [3]. - Bottle Chip: It is recommended to short the processing fee at high positions [3]. - Ethanol: It is recommended to conduct reverse arbitrage on EG5 - 9 at high positions [3]. - Benzene: It is expected to fluctuate between 5300 - 5600 [3]. - Styrene: It is recommended to short at 6800 and short the processing fee at high positions [3]. - LLDPE: It is recommended to go long on the 2605 contract [3]. - PP: Attention should be paid to the expansion of PDH profits [3]. - Methanol: It is recommended to reduce the MTO of the 05 contract [3]. - Caustic Soda: It is recommended to short in the short - term [3]. - PVC: It is recommended to short in the short - term [3]. - Soda Ash: It is recommended to short on rebounds [3]. - Glass: It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - Natural Rubber: It is recommended to wait and see [3]. - Synthetic Rubber: It is expected to fluctuate between 11200 - 12000 [3]. - Agricultural Products: - Meal: It is expected to fluctuate within a range [3]. - Live Pigs: The market is expected to be stable and strong [3]. - Corn: It is expected to be volatile and strong [3]. - Oil: It is expected to be volatile and weak [3]. - Sugar: Attention should be paid to the resistance level around 5300 [3]. - Cotton: It is expected to be volatile and strong [3]. - Eggs: It is expected to fluctuate at the bottom [3]. - Apples: It is recommended to exit long positions [3]. - Red Dates: It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money call options (CJ605 - C - 9700) [3].