Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company focuses on high-end hydrodynamic oil film sliding bearings, with rapid growth in downstream demand from sectors such as wind power, nuclear power, gas turbines, and generators, indicating a potential for sustained performance [2][12]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 1.58, 1.86, and 2.19 yuan respectively, with a target price set at 65.10 yuan based on a 35x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2026 [12][18]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 523 million yuan in 2023 to 812 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16.2% [4][16]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 101 million yuan in 2023 to 190 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 17.8% [4][16]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to rise from 7.1% in 2023 to 10.0% in 2027 [4][16]. Market Position - The company has established a diversified product model centered on hydrodynamic oil film sliding bearings, with a strong technological foundation and a global customer base including major players like GE and Shanghai Electric [12][18]. - The hydrodynamic oil film sliding bearings market in China is projected to grow from 3.23 billion yuan in 2020 to approximately 6.72 billion yuan by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 13% [12][18]. Industry Context - The demand for hydrodynamic oil film sliding bearings is driven by their advantages such as high speed, excellent load-bearing capacity, low friction coefficient, long service life, and strong impact resistance, making them suitable for various high-tech strategic emerging industries [12][18]. - The company’s products are increasingly being adopted in nuclear power and gas turbine applications, indicating a growing market for high-end energy equipment [12][18].
崇德科技（301548）：首次覆盖报告：下游需求快速增长，市占率持续提升