公募基金量化遴选类策略指数跟踪周报(2026.01.04):策略指数持续表现稳健,积极布局2026-20260106
HWABAO SECURITIES·2026-01-06 12:01
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the equity market showed an upward trend with significant fluctuations. The CSI All-Share Index recorded a 24.60% annual return, and the Shanghai Composite Index climbed to around 4000 points. The Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy maintained low volatility and achieved nearly 15% return, while the Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy was limited by balanced fund selection but could still optimize the risk-return ratio. The Overseas Equity Allocation Strategy recorded a 13.98% return [3]. - The quantitative strategy allocation preference is Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy > Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy > Overseas Equity Strategy. The report is optimistic about A-share investment opportunities, suggesting active short - term layout. The Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy can be used as a base position, and the Overseas Equity Strategy still has some allocation value but with more risk points [4]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Quantified Strategy Allocation Viewpoints - A-shares: The report is bullish on A-share investment opportunities. The Shanghai Composite Index has exceeded 4000 points, and the trading volume has increased in 2026. The market is expected to break through further in the spring offensive. The Stock Fund Enhancement Strategy is more attractive, and the Evergreen Low-Volatility Strategy can be used as a base position [4]. - Overseas market: After recovering from the tariff shock, the upward momentum of the overseas market has weakened and differences have increased. Although there is still some allocation value in the short term, there are many risk points, and the overall cost - effectiveness is slightly lower than that of A-share strategy combinations [4]. 3.2 Performance of Equity Fund Strategy Indexes - Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was -0.705% with an excess return of 0.283%. The one - month return was 0.717% with an excess return of -1.293% [5]. - Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was -0.229% with an excess return of 0.759%. The one - month return was 2.294% with an excess return of 0.284% [5]. - Cash Enhancement Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was 0.019%, outperforming the CSI Money Fund Index with a cumulative excess return of 0.569% since the strategy's operation [5]. - Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Strategy Index: This week's return was -0.137% with an excess return of 0.186%. The one - month return was 1.834% with an excess return of -1.417% [5]. 3.3 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Performance Tracking - Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Portfolio: It has maintained low volatility and small drawdowns, significantly outperforming the CSI Active Equity Fund Index. It has both defensive and offensive characteristics [13]. - Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio: Since the strategy has been running for a short time, its performance is similar to that of the CSI Active Equity Fund Index. It is expected to have stronger elasticity in an improved market environment [16]. - Cash Enhancement Fund Portfolio: After double screening, it has continuously outperformed the benchmark, with a cumulative excess return of over 0.41% since July 2023 [17]. - Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio: Since July 2023, in the context of the Fed's interest - rate cut cycle and the boost of AI technology, it has accumulated high - level excess returns, which can thicken the return of the equity investment portfolio [20]. 3.4 Tool - based Fund Portfolio Construction Ideas - Evergreen Low-Volatility Fund Portfolio: It aims to select funds with long - term stable returns in high - equity - position actively managed funds. By adding restrictions on fund valuation levels, it constructs a low - volatility active equity fund portfolio from the perspectives of net value performance and position characteristics [22][25]. - Stock Fund Enhancement Fund Portfolio: It aims to meet the needs of equity fund investors with different risk preferences. By analyzing the source of fund returns and constructing a portfolio based on the significant continuity of Alpha returns, it is expected to bring excess performance [23][26]. - Cash Enhancement Fund Portfolio: By constructing a money fund screening system, it helps investors select money funds with better returns, optimize the income of short - term idle funds, and reduce income volatility risks [23][27]. - Overseas Equity Allocation Fund Portfolio: Based on long - and short - term technical indicators and comprehensive index momentum and reversal effects, it selects QDII equity funds corresponding to overseas equity indexes to build a portfolio, meeting the needs of global allocation [24][28].