建信期货集运指数日报-20260107

Report Information - Report Title: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: January 7, 2026 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Research Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The SCFIS index rebounded 3.1% to 1795.83 points this week, with good price increases in late December. The freight rate in early January was around $2,880, and the cargo collection was in good condition. There is still an expectation of price increase in late January, and the February contract may have some upside potential. However, the expectation of Red Sea re - navigation after the Spring Festival may heat up, so pay attention to short - selling opportunities for the April contract in the off - season and the positive spread trading opportunity between 02 - 04 contracts [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Spot market: The SCFIS index rose 3.1% to 1795.83 points this week. The price increase in late December was well - implemented. In early January, the freight rate remained around $2,880, and the cargo collection was good. The late - January quotes are in the range of $2,700 - $3,100, with an expected price increase. The February contract may rise, but pay attention to the April contract's short - selling opportunity in the off - season and the 02 - 04 positive spread trading opportunity [8] 2. Industry News - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the China export container shipping market was positive, with the comprehensive index rising 6.7% to 1656.32 points on December 26. - European routes: The European economy was weak in 2025, facing geopolitical and energy security risks. The freight rate from Shanghai Port to European basic ports rose 10.2% to $1,690/TEU on December 26. - Mediterranean routes: The market was in sync with European routes, and the freight rate from Shanghai Port to Mediterranean basic ports rose 10.9% to $3,143/TEU on December 26. - North American routes: The US employment market showed a small improvement. The freight rates from Shanghai Port to the US West and East basic ports rose 9.8% and 6.6% to $2,188/FEU and $3,033/FEU respectively on December 26. - Multiple shipping companies announced freight rate increases, including MSC, Maersk, Hapag - Lloyd, and CMA CGM. - Military operations in the Middle East continued, and there were uncertainties about Maersk's resumption of Red Sea - Suez Canal navigation [9][10] 3. Data Overview 3.1 Container Shipping Spot Prices - The SCFIS European route index rose 3.1% from 1742.64 points on December 29, 2025, to 1795.83 points on January 5, 2026. The SCFIS US West route index fell 3.9%, from 1301.41 points to 1250.12 points [12] 3.2 Container Shipping Index (European Line) Futures Market - The trading data of multiple container shipping European line futures contracts on January 6, including EC2602, EC2604, etc., were presented, showing information such as opening price, closing price, and trading volume [6] 3.3 Shipping - Related Data Charts - Multiple shipping - related data charts were provided, including the Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Rate Index, container ship运力 in Europe, and global container ship orders [13][18][20]