建信期货集运指数日报-20260108

Report Information - Report Name: Container Shipping Index Daily Report [1] - Date: January 8, 2026 [2] - Research Team: Macro Financial Research Team [4] - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao, Huang Wenxin, Nie Jiayi [3] Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the report Core Viewpoints - The SCFIS index rebounded 3.1% to 1795.83 points this week. The freight rate in early January was maintained at around $2880, and the cargo collection was in good condition. There is still an upward expectation for the price increase in late January, and there may be some upward space for the February contract. However, the expectation of resuming navigation in the Red Sea after the Spring Festival may heat up, and attention should be paid to the short - selling opportunity of the April contract in the off - season and the positive spread arbitrage opportunity between the 02 and 04 contracts [8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Spot market: The SCFIS index rose 3.1% to 1795.83 points this week. The freight rate in early January was around $2880, and the cargo collection was good. The late - January quotation is in the range of $2700 - 3100, and the Maersk's fourth - week opening price of $2800 is better than expected. There is still an upward expectation for the February contract, but attention should be paid to the short - selling opportunity of the April contract in the off - season and the 02 - 04 positive spread arbitrage opportunity [8] 2. Industry News - From December 22 to 26, 2025, the China Export Container Shipping Market showed a good trend, and the comprehensive index rose. The European economy was weak in 2025, with high geopolitical and energy security risks. The spot market booking price in the European and Mediterranean routes rose during the signing season. The North American employment market showed a slight recovery, and the freight rate also increased. Multiple shipping companies announced price hikes and PSS adjustments. Military operations in the Middle East continued, and there were uncertainties about Maersk's resumption of Red Sea - Suez Canal navigation [9][10] 3. Data Overview - Container shipping spot prices: The SCFIS European route index rose 3.1% to 1795.83 points from December 29, 2025, to January 5, 2026, while the US - West route index fell 3.9% to 1250.12 points [12] - Container shipping index (European line) futures market: Provided trading data for multiple contracts such as EC2602, EC2604, etc., including opening price, closing price, settlement price, etc. [6] - Shipping - related data trend charts: Included data on European container ship capacity, global container ship orders, Shanghai - European basic port freight rates, etc. [18][20]