苹果市场周报-20260109

Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View of the Report - This week, the price of the Apple Futures 2605 contract soared with a weekly increase of about 6.24%. There was a slight increase in the number of inquiring merchants in the late - Fuji production areas, and the trading atmosphere varied among different production areas. The fruit growers' supplies were mostly concentrated in Gansu and Liaoning. The inventory removal speed in the main apple - producing areas increased slightly compared to last week but was still lower than the same period last year. The sales in the distribution market were still sluggish, but the rigid demand for festival stocking increased. The market may fluctuate strongly in the short term [4][9] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Week - to - Week Summary - Market Review: The price of the Apple Futures 2605 contract soared this week with a weekly increase of about 6.24% [4][9] - Market Outlook: In the late - Fuji production areas, the number of inquiring merchants increased slightly. The fruit growers' supplies were concentrated in Gansu and Liaoning. As of January 7, 2026, the cold - storage inventory of apples in the main producing areas was 7.209 billion tons, a decrease of 126,600 tons from last week. The inventory removal speed increased slightly, but was still lower than the same period last year. In Shandong, the storage capacity ratio was 51.85%, a decrease of 0.57% from last week; in Shaanxi, it was 55.35%, a decrease of 0.80% from last week. The trading in Shandong's cold - storage was cold, and the overall volume of goods transferred was limited. Shaanxi's inventory removal speed was slightly faster than last week but still lower than the same period last year. The sales in the distribution market were still sluggish, but the rigid demand for festival stocking increased, and there may be a short - term upward trend [4] - Future Trading Tips: Fruit prices and consumption [5] 3.2. Futures and Spot Markets 3.2.1. Futures Market - The price of the Apple Futures 2605 contract soared this week with a weekly increase of about 6.24%. As of this week, the net position of the top 20 in apple futures was 8,206 lots, and the number of apple futures warrants was 0 [9][16] 3.2.2. Spot Market - As of January 9, 2026, the mainstream price of 80 and above first - and second - grade fruit growers' goods of paper - bag red Fuji in Qixia, Yantai, Shandong was 4.0 yuan per catty; the price of 75 and above Fuji apples in Yiyuan, Shandong was 2.40 yuan per catty [19] 3.3. Industry Situation and Options 3.3.1. Industry Chain 3.3.1.1. Supply - As of January 7, 2026, the cold - storage inventory of apples in the main producing areas was 7.209 billion tons, a decrease of 126,600 tons from last week. The inventory removal speed increased slightly but was still lower than the same period last year. The storage capacity ratio in Shandong was 51.85%, a decrease of 0.57% from last week; in Shaanxi, it was 55.35%, a decrease of 0.80% from last week [27] 3.3.1.2. Demand - As of January 8, the average daily number of early - morning arrivals at major apple wholesale markets in Guangdong increased. The profit of 80 first - and second - grade apple storage merchants was suspended (represented by 0). As of January 2, 2026, the wholesale price of all - variety apples was 9.43 yuan per kilogram, a week - on - week increase of 0.13 yuan per kilogram; the wholesale price of Fuji apples was 9.0 yuan per kilogram, a week - on - week decrease of 0.01 yuan per kilogram. The weekly average wholesale price of 5 kinds of fruits was 7.77 yuan per kilogram, a week - on - week increase of 0.103 yuan per kilogram. In November 2025, China's fresh apple exports were about 121,600 tons, with an export value of 123,853,780 US dollars and an average export price of 1,018.09 US dollars per ton. The export volume increased by 51.24% compared to October and 12.38% compared to November 2024 [31][36][43] 3.3.2. Options Market - Information about the implied volatility of at - the - money options for apples this week was presented, but no specific data was given [44] 3.4. Futures - Stock Correlation - A graph of the price - to - earnings ratio of Honghui Fruit and Vegetable was presented, but no in - depth analysis was provided [46]