建信期货纸浆日报-20260116

Report Information - Report Name: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: January 16, 2025 [2] Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Core Viewpoint - The fundamentals of the pulp market have limited changes and are expected to fluctuate and adjust [8] Summary by Section 1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Futures Market: The previous settlement price of the pulp futures contract 05 was 5,508 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,436 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.31% [7] - Spot Market: The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong market was 4,900 - 6,300 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20 yuan/ton from the previous trading day's closing price. The quotation of Arauco's Silver Star in Shandong was 5,530 - 5,550 yuan/ton [7] - Foreign Offers: Arauco's January foreign offers for pulp: Silver Star (softwood pulp) increased by $10/ton to $710/ton; Venus (natural pulp) remained unchanged at $620/ton; Star (hardwood pulp) increased by $20/ton to $590/ton [8] - Supply - Related Data: In November, the chemical pulp shipments of 20 major pulp - producing countries decreased by 6.9% year - on - year, with softwood pulp down 7.6% and hardwood pulp down 7.3%. Shipments to the Chinese market decreased significantly. In November 2025, the European wood pulp inventory was 700,000 tons, a 0.8% decrease month - on - month and a 6.3% increase year - on - year; the consumption was 805,600 tons, a 6.2% decrease month - on - month and a 4.6% decrease year - on - year. In December 2025, the total pulp imports were 3.113 million tons, a 4.1% decrease month - on - month and a 3.8% decrease year - on - year. As of January 15, 2026, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 0.56% [8] - Demand Situation: Large - scale cultural paper enterprises are operating normally, while some small and medium - sized production lines in the north are shut down. Downstream publishing orders for pick - up are almost finished, and social orders have limited changes. Dealers are mainly selling at stable prices with little intention to adjust prices [8] 2. Industry News - On January 15, it was reported that the 2025 China Paper Industry Top Ten News Selection Conference was held in Beijing. Gold East Paper under APP (China) was listed on the "2025 Excellent - level Smart Factory Project List" for its "Full - process Digital and Intelligent High - end Cultural Paper Smart Factory" and ranked first in the 2025 China Paper Industry Top Ten News, setting a benchmark for the industry [9] 3. Data Overview - The report provides various data charts including import softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, needle - broadleaf price differences, inter - period price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventory, European main port wood pulp inventory, copperplate paper and offset paper prices and price differences, white cardboard and whiteboard paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][23][25][27]