知行数据观察 乳液面霜品类行业宏观市场调研

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The lotion and cream categories are fundamental in skincare, primarily used for moisturizing and nourishing the skin, with distinctions based on texture, oil content, and suitable skin types/seasons [7] - Moisturizing remains the core demand with a 31% share, but its growth rate is stable at 5%, indicating a mature stage with limited growth potential. Nourishing creams, although only 5% of the market, show the highest growth rate at 16%, indicating a rising demand for high-nutrition lotions and creams [9][10] - The market is experiencing a shift, with a notable decline in demand for soothing, firming, and anti-wrinkle products, suggesting a saturation of these categories [9][10] Market Trends - The online sales landscape is shifting, with Douyin's sales share increasing from 44% to 49% and volume share from 47% to 67% between 2023 and 2025, while Tmall's shares are declining [16][22] - The average price on Tmall has risen significantly, while Douyin's average price dropped sharply, indicating a strategy focused on volume through lower pricing [15][20] - The overall market growth is slowing, with a projected sales growth of only 4.3% from 2024 to 2025, suggesting that companies need to adapt to channel characteristics [22] Competitive Landscape - The top brands on Tmall are dominated by high-end products, with significant sales figures, while Douyin shows a more fragmented market with rapid growth among new brands [24][26] - Domestic brands are leading in low-price, high-volume segments, while international brands maintain a high-price, low-volume strategy [26] - The report highlights the importance of product differentiation and the need for brands to focus on emerging trends and consumer demands to capture market share [11][12] Consumer Behavior - There is a significant demand for products targeting sensitive skin and repair, which are identified as "blue ocean" opportunities due to supply shortages [11] - The report indicates that high-demand, low-supply segments present opportunities for growth, while high-supply, low-demand segments require careful evaluation [12] Brand Strategies - Brands are increasingly leveraging live streaming and influencer partnerships to enhance visibility and sales, with a notable shift towards using influencers to reach broader audiences [50][57] - The report emphasizes the importance of maintaining a balance between high-end positioning and market penetration through various pricing strategies [41][42]