国证国际港股晨报-20260120

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market continued its adjustment trend, with all three major indices closing lower; the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.05%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index by 0.94%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index by 1.24% [1] - The overall market sentiment is cautious, with a trading volume of approximately HKD 225.7 billion, and the short-selling ratio remains relatively low at about 13.85% [1] - Southbound capital saw a rebound, with a net inflow of HKD 2.29 billion [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - The technology sector was the main contributor to the decline, with SaaS, cloud computing, and AI application stocks under significant pressure; notable declines were seen in Huilyang Technology and Zhipu [2] - The pharmaceutical and education sectors also showed weakness, with WuXi Biologics leading the CXO sector decline [2] - Conversely, the aviation sector performed well, benefiting from the upcoming Spring Festival travel rush and favorable oil exchange rates, with China Eastern Airlines leading gains of over 9% [2] Group 3: Economic Data - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that China's GDP grew by 5.0% in 2025, meeting the official target and laying a solid foundation for the 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - In December, the industrial added value above designated size increased by 5.2% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations and indicating sustained high manufacturing activity [3] - Exports in December rose by 6.6% year-on-year, marking a quarterly high, with high-tech product exports growing by 13.2%, significantly outpacing overall growth [3] Group 4: Investment Trends - Despite pressures from real estate adjustments, investment in manufacturing equipment surged by 11.8%, indicating structural optimization in investment [3] - The real estate sector is still in an adjustment phase, but signs of improvement are emerging, with a narrowing decline in new housing sales [3] - Consumer spending showed signs of potential recovery, supported by a stable employment situation [3] Group 5: E-commerce Insights - In December, the online retail sales of physical goods grew by 0.8% year-on-year, with a total of RMB 1.3 trillion, reflecting a slowdown compared to previous months [5] - Alibaba's Qianwen app has integrated various services, potentially enhancing user engagement and operational efficiency [6] - The overall e-commerce market growth is expected to slow down in Q4 due to weak macro consumption and high base effects from government subsidies [8]