Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan·2026-01-21 12:24Investment Rating - The report rates the robot lidar industry with a strong growth outlook, projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 29.19% from 2020 to 2024 and 15.87% from 2025 to 2030, indicating robust market potential [4][57]. Core Insights - The robot lidar industry is characterized by technological intensity, cost reduction, and a shift from automotive dominance to a balanced market between automotive and robotics applications. The market size is expected to grow from 62.23 billion RMB in 2020 to 173.31 billion RMB in 2024, driven by the explosion of the robotics industry and domestic substitution [4][57]. - The industry is undergoing a cost revolution, with high-end product prices dropping from $5,000 in 2021 to 2,000-3,000 RMB by 2025, influenced by chip design, scale effects, and accelerated localization of the supply chain [20][61]. - The application scenarios for lidar are diversifying, with significant growth in both automotive and robotics sectors, particularly in service robots and autonomous vehicles [21][59]. Summary by Sections Industry Definition - Robot lidar serves as the core sensor for providing three-dimensional vision to robots, essential for high-precision, all-weather perception. The technology has evolved through mechanical rotation, semi-solid, and solid-state designs to enhance reliability and reduce costs [5]. Industry Characteristics - The robot lidar industry is a high-tech, research-driven sector with significant cost reductions reshaping market dynamics. The application scenarios are becoming increasingly diverse, with rapid growth in the robotics market [18]. Development History - The industry has evolved through three phases: initial experimentation (1960s-2000), industrialization and rapid growth (2001-2015), and large-scale application and maturity (2016-present) [23]. Industry Chain Analysis - The industry chain consists of upstream core components, midstream manufacturing and integration, and downstream application scenarios. The domestic substitution is progressing rapidly, with significant improvements in localization across all segments of the supply chain [28][29]. Market Size - The market size for robot lidar is projected to grow from 193.68 billion RMB in 2025 to 404.52 billion RMB by 2030, with a CAGR of 15.87%. The growth is attributed to the rapid expansion of the robotics industry and increasing penetration rates of lidar in various applications [57][61]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape is characterized by a tiered structure, with leading companies like Hesai Technology and RoboSense dominating the market. The market concentration is expected to increase, with top firms capturing a significant share of the emerging robotics lidar market [75][80].