《金融》日报-20260127
Guang Fa Qi Huo·2026-01-27 01:05
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The provided reports do not mention industry investment ratings. 2. Report Core Views 2.1 Futures Index Spread Report - Provides data on futures index spreads including price differences between current and futures prices, and across different contract months for various stock index futures such as IF, IH, IC, and IM on January 27, 2026, along with historical percentile data [1]. 2.2 Treasury Bond Futures Spread Report - Presents data on treasury bond futures spreads including basis, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads for TS, TF, T, and TL on January 27, 2026, and their historical percentile rankings since listing [2]. 2.3 Precious Metals Spot - Futures Report - Short - term precious metals market is expected to maintain a strong and volatile trend. Gold is showing increased upward momentum above the 20 - day moving average, and long positions should be held. Silver is driven by factors like capital sentiment, with a strong but volatile short - term trend. Platinum and palladium prices are rising due to macro - financial factors and supply constraints, and a low - buying strategy is recommended [4]. 2.4 Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Report - On January 26, 2026, the container shipping index showed declines in some routes. Futures prices of related contracts increased, and the basis of the main contract decreased. Fundamental data indicates a slight increase in global container shipping capacity supply, and some overseas economic indicators showed different trends [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Index Spread Report - Price Differences: IF current - futures spread is 12.44, up 5.73 from the previous day; IH is 8.61, up 3.01; IC is 32.90% (with a decrease of 36.69); IM is 22.70% (with a decrease of 76.23). For cross - period spreads, differences vary among different contract months [1]. - Percentiles: Historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles are provided for each spread, showing the relative position of the current spread value in historical data [1]. 3.2 Treasury Bond Futures Spread Report - Basis: TS basis is 1.3290 on January 26, 2026, up 0.0141; TF is 1.3355, up 0.0144; T is 1.3663, up 0.0117; TL is 0.2730 [2]. - Inter - period Spreads: Different inter - period spreads (e.g., current - season to next - season, current - season to next - next - season) for each type of treasury bond futures are presented, along with their changes and historical percentiles [2]. - Cross - variety Spreads: Spreads between different types of treasury bond futures (e.g., TS - TF, TS - T, TF - T) are given, with their values, changes, and historical percentiles [2]. 3.3 Precious Metals Spot - Futures Report - Domestic Futures: On January 26, 2026, AU2604 rose 27.68 (2.48%); AG2604 rose 2242 (8.98%); PT2606 rose 58.80 (8.57%); PD2606 rose 36.85 (7.40%) [4]. - Foreign Futures: COMEX gold rose 21.70 (0.44%); COMEX silver rose 0.63 (0.61%); NYMEX platinum fell 197.60 (-7.13%); NYMEX palladium fell 54.50 (-2.66%) [4]. - Spot Prices: London gold rose 28.57 (0.57%); London silver rose 0.53 (0.52%); spot palladium and other spot prices also had different changes [4]. - Basis: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is 0.94, up 6.23; silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract basis and other basis data are provided, along with historical 1 - year percentiles [4]. - Ratio: Ratios such as COMEX gold/silver, SHFE gold/silver, NYMEX platinum/palladium, and GFE platinum/palladium are presented, with their changes [4]. - Interest Rates and Exchange Rates: 10 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.02 (-0.5%); 2 - year US Treasury yield fell 0.04 (-1.1%); 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield fell 0.02 (-1.0%); US dollar index fell 0.45 (-0.47%); offshore RMB exchange rate rose 0.0006 (0.01%) [4]. - Inventory and Positions: Changes in inventory and positions of precious metals in domestic and foreign exchanges and ETFs are reported [4]. 3.4 Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Report - Shipping Index: SCFIS (European route) fell 94.9 (-4.86%); SCFIS (US - West route) fell 11.0 (-0.84%); SCFI composite index fell 116.3 (-7.39%); SCFI (European), SCFI (US - West), and SCFI (US - East) also declined [6]. - Futures Prices and Basis: Futures prices of contracts such as EC2602, EC2604 (main contract), etc., increased. The basis of the main contract decreased by 61.9 (-8.59%) [6]. - Fundamental Data: Global container shipping capacity supply increased by 1.74 (0.05%); Shanghai port on - time rate increased by 1.81 (4.53%); Shanghai port berthing increased by 9.00 (2.61%); monthly export amount increased by 275.84 (8.35%); some overseas economic indicators had different changes [6].
《金融》日报-20260127 - Reportify