建信期货纸浆日报-20260127

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - Pulp futures are experiencing a short - term correction due to sector influence and weakening downstream procurement. The overall trend is a wide - range oscillation with both upward pressure and downward support [8] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Operational Suggestions - The previous settlement price of the Pulp Futures 05 contract was 5400 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5374 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.48%. The intended transaction price range of coniferous pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 4750 - 5650 yuan/ton, with the price remaining stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price, and the Shandong Yinxing quotation was 5400 yuan/ton [7] - In January, Arauco's foreign pulp offers: coniferous pulp Yinxing increased by 10 US dollars/ton to 710 US dollars/ton; natural pulp Jinxing remained flat at 620 US dollars/ton; broad - leaf pulp Mingxing increased by 20 US dollars/ton to 590 US dollars/ton [8] - According to PPPC, in November, the chemical pulp shipments of 20 pulp - producing countries in the world decreased by 6.9% year - on - year, coniferous pulp decreased by 7.6% year - on - year, and broad - leaf pulp decreased by 7.3% year - on - year, with a significant decline in shipments to the Chinese market [8] - According to UTIPULP data, in December 2025, the European wood pulp inventory was 759,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 7.6% and a year - on - year increase of 2.4%; the European wood pulp consumption was 722,400 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 10.9% and a year - on - year increase of 0.6% [8] - In December 2025, the total pulp import volume was 3.113 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 4.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 3.8%. As of January 22, 2026, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 2.0198 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.37% [8] - On the demand side, the market purchase and sales rhythm has slowed down, the raw material stocking intention of downstream paper enterprises has decreased, the pre - holiday replenishment is gradually ending, and the support from the demand side of the pulp market has weakened [8] 3.2 Industry News - On January 22, Guangxi proposed the development goal for the pulp and paper industry in 2030: the output of paper and paperboard will reach 27 million tons. The "Implementation Opinions on Accelerating the High - quality Development of Forest Product Processing and the Paper Industry" put forward the goal of "strengthening the pulp and paper industry", including giving priority to the development of high - yield pulp types such as chemical wood pulp and mechanical wood pulp, vigorously developing products such as packaging paper, tissue paper, cultural paper, specialty paper, and pulp molding, and building a number of key projects such as forest - pulp - paper integration and high - value - added specialty paper. By 2030, the output value of the paper industry in the region will reach 180 billion yuan, the output of machine - made paper and paperboard will reach 27 million tons, and 4 enterprises with an output value of over 20 billion yuan and 5 enterprises with an output value of over 10 billion yuan will be cultivated [9] 3.3 Data Overview - The report provides multiple data charts, including import bleached coniferous pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, needle - broadleaf price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, prices and price differences of coated paper and offset paper, prices and price differences of white cardboard and whiteboard paper, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][26][27][31]