Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% from the current price [5][12]. Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 29.06% stake in PUMA SE for €1.5 billion (approximately RMB 12.28 billion), which will make it the largest shareholder of PUMA. This acquisition is expected to enhance the company's brand portfolio and international competitiveness [9]. - The company's main brand, ANTA, experienced low single-digit negative growth in Q4, which was below expectations due to market pressures and the timing of the Spring Festival. However, overall revenue remains stable, with FILA showing positive growth trends [9]. - For 2026, the company anticipates positive growth for its main brand through improvements in e-commerce planning, store optimization, and product enhancement. The outdoor brands are expected to maintain stable profitability despite a slowdown in growth rates due to base effects [9]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 132.48 billion, RMB 149.62 billion, and RMB 169.18 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -15%, +13%, and +13% [11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 4.72, RMB 5.33, and RMB 6.02 for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 14x, 13x, and 11x [11]. - The total revenue is expected to reach RMB 79.36 billion in 2025, RMB 88.90 billion in 2026, and RMB 99.76 billion in 2027, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [13].
安踏体育(02020):拟收购PUMA29%股权,消费承压下主品牌流水放缓