港股晨报-20260127

Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index slightly up by 0.06%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1.24%, indicating a shift of funds from tech growth sectors to resource sectors with clear inflation benefits [2][3] - International gold prices have reached a new high due to rising risk aversion and geopolitical tensions, with spot silver also hitting a new peak of $109 per ounce, driving up related stocks [3] - The report notes a significant increase in U.S. durable goods orders by 5.3% month-on-month in November, indicating strong corporate investment momentum despite political uncertainties [4][5] Industry Analysis - The report provides insights into the retail sector, indicating that the total retail sales in December 2025 reached 45,136 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.9%, and an accumulated growth of 3.7% for the entire year [7] - The report observes a decline in growth rates across various consumer segments, with commodity retail sales in December at 39,398 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.7%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [8] - The food and daily necessities retail sectors experienced a slowdown, with December retail sales for food and oil at 2,323 billion yuan, growing by 3.9%, and daily necessities at 776 billion yuan, growing by 3.7% [8] - The report notes that the clothing sector is struggling, with December retail sales at 1,661 billion yuan, showing only a 0.6% year-on-year increase [8] - The report highlights a strong performance in the telecommunications equipment sector, with December retail sales reaching 949 billion yuan, growing by 20.9%, attributed to subsidies for electronic consumer goods [8] - The automotive sector is facing challenges, with December retail sales at 5,482 billion yuan, declining by 5.0% year-on-year, reflecting diminishing effects from subsidies [8] Investment Strategy - The report suggests investment in Lao Pu Gold (6181.HK), anticipating increased consumer demand during the Spring Festival, with a projected PE of 18.5x for 2026 based on a 40% net profit growth [10] - Hai Di Lao (6862.HK) is highlighted for its potential growth during the Spring Festival, with a current PE-TTM of 17x, benefiting from improved same-store sales in the second half of 2025 [10] - Ming Ming Hen Mang (1768.HK) is noted for its upcoming listing and expected rapid growth during the Spring Festival season, attracting significant market attention [10]