油脂油料早报-20260130

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core View - The US soybean and soybean meal export sales and shipment data for the week ending January 22 showed mixed performance, with soybean exports decreasing and soybean meal exports increasing. The expected US soybean crush volume in December is likely to reach a high level due to increased demand for soybean oil in biofuel production [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog Overnight Market Information - US Soybean Export Sales - For the week ending January 22, US current - market - year soybean export sales net increased by 81.90 million tons, down 67% from the previous week and 50% from the four - week average, meeting the market's expected range of 40.0 - 180.0 million tons. The export shipment was 126.96 million tons, down 5% from the previous week and 4% from the four - week average. The current - market - year new sales were 82.98 million tons, and next - market - year new sales were 0 tons [1] Overnight Market Information - US Soybean Meal Export Sales - For the week ending January 22, US current - market - year soybean meal export sales net increased by 46.43 million tons, up 13% from the previous week and 82% from the four - week average, within the market's expected range of 22.5 - 50.0 million tons. The export shipment was 33.06 million tons, down 32% from the previous week and 15% from the four - week average. The current - market - year new sales were 46.82 million tons, and next - market - year new sales were 0.01 million tons [1] Overnight Market Information - US Soybean Crush Volume Forecast - Before the USDA's monthly report, analysts expected the US soybean crush volume in December to be 6.914 million short tons (about 230.4 million bushels). If realized, it would be 5.9% higher than November 2024's 217.7 million bushels and 4.5% higher than November's 220.5 million bushels, reaching the second - highest monthly crush record. The forecast range was 227 - 234.5 million bushels, with a median of 230 million bushels [1] Overnight Market Information - US Soybean Oil Inventory Forecast - A survey of four industry analysts showed that as of December 31, US soybean oil inventory was expected to be 2.279 billion pounds, with a forecast range of 2.25 - 2.3 billion pounds and a median of 2.283 billion pounds [1] Spot Price - From January 23 to January 29, 2026, the spot prices of bean粕 in Jiangsu remained at 3070, while the prices of菜粕 in Guangdong increased from 2390 to 2480,豆油 in Jiangsu increased from 8570 to 8790,棕榈油 in Guangzhou increased from 8880 to 9310, and菜油 in Jiangsu increased from 9810 to 10240 [1]