申万宏源证券港股晨报-20260130

Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.51% while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 1% [2] - The paper discusses the significant rebound in the real estate sector, with notable increases in stock prices for several property companies, attributed to a more lenient regulatory environment [3] - The consumer sector also showed positive movements, particularly in the sports and beverage segments, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards traditional sectors amid tech stock volatility [4] Company Overview - The specific company under review, Guo'en Technology (2768.HK), specializes in chemical new materials and gelatin, with a strong focus on organic polymer modified materials and organic polymer composite materials [7] - The company is projected to be the second-largest player in China's organic polymer modified materials market by sales revenue in 2024, holding a market share of 2.5% [7] - Revenue growth is expected to be steady, with total revenues forecasted at approximately RMB 134.1 billion, RMB 174.4 billion, and RMB 191.9 billion for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 respectively [7] Industry Status and Outlook - The global market for organic polymer modified materials and organic polymer composite materials is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.6% from 2025 to 2029, with China's growth rate projected at 14.1% [8] - The largest application for these materials is in the home appliance sector, accounting for 38.2% of usage, followed by the automotive industry at 17.9% [8] Advantages and Opportunities - The company benefits from a vertically integrated model that strengthens its market position in the organic polymer modified materials sector [9] - Strategic expansion into the health sector is part of a dual growth engine strategy, enhancing the company's growth potential [9] - The company has established long-term partnerships with leading enterprises, supported by a strong reputation and innovative capabilities [9] Fundraising Purpose - Approximately 50% of the funds raised (around HKD 528.5 million) will be allocated to establishing a new production base in Thailand to expand capacity [11] - About 35% (around HKD 370.5 million) will be used to enhance the production capacity of the existing facility in Yixing, China [11] - The remaining funds will support operational expenses and general corporate purposes [11] Investment Recommendations - The company ranks second in the organic polymer modified materials sector in China and is the largest producer of polystyrene by capacity [13] - The projected growth in net profit for the first ten months of 2025 is 40% year-on-year, indicating strong financial performance [13] - Despite competitive pressures and potential fluctuations in raw material prices, the company presents a compelling investment opportunity with a significant discount in its valuation compared to its A-share counterpart [13]