宝通证券港股每日策略-20260202

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 580 points or 2.08%, closing at 27,387 points[1] - The National Index dropped by 235 points or 2.5%, closing at 9,317 points[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 122 points or 2.1%, closing at 5,718 points[1] - Total market turnover was 301.612 billion HKD[1] Currency and Economic Indicators - The RMB/USD central parity rate was adjusted up by 93 pips to 6.9678, the highest since May 16, 2023[1] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 477.5 billion RMB reverse repo operation at a rate of 1.4%[1] - The manufacturing PMI for January 2026 fell to 49.3, below the market expectation of 50, indicating a decline of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month[2] Sector Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 40 points or 1%, at 4,117 points, with a turnover of 1.27 trillion RMB[2] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 94 points or 0.7%, closing at 14,205 points, with a turnover of 1.57 trillion RMB[2] - The ChiNext Index rose by 41 points or 1.3%, closing at 3,346 points, with a turnover of 726.1 billion RMB[2] Corporate Earnings Forecasts - China National Building Material (03323.HK) expects a loss of 2.3 to 4 billion RMB for the year ending December 31, 2025, compared to a profit of 2.387 billion RMB in 2024[4] - China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) anticipates a net profit of 50.8 to 55.8 billion RMB for 2025, a decrease of 10.6% to 18.6% year-on-year[4] - CICC (03908.HK) projects a net profit of 8.542 to 10.535 billion RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85%[6]