2026-02-05 07:54Investment Rating - The report indicates a strong investment opportunity in the small electric vehicle (EV) sector, particularly for Chinese brands, which are projected to capture nearly 96% of the market share by 2025 [6][21][98]. Core Insights - The small electric vehicle market in China is expected to grow from less than 500,000 units in 2020 to over 3 million units by 2025, marking a sixfold increase [6][98]. - Despite the surge in sales, the profit margins for small electric vehicles remain low, leading some manufacturers to strategically avoid this segment due to economic inefficiencies [7][98]. - The rise of small electric vehicles has significantly contributed to the market share of Chinese brands, which increased from approximately 30% to 60% between 2020 and 2025, with small EVs accounting for one-third of this growth [6][60][98]. Summary by Sections Market Growth - From 2020 to 2025, the sales of small electric vehicles in China are projected to increase dramatically, with Chinese brands benefiting the most, achieving a market share of nearly 96% by 2025 [6][9][98]. - The share of small electric vehicles in new car sales in China is expected to rise from less than 3% to over 14% during the same period [9][98]. Consumer Demographics - By 2025, nearly 60% of small electric vehicle buyers will come from households that previously owned foreign brands, with over 80% of these buyers being women [30][32][98]. - The shift in consumer demographics indicates a growing acceptance of Chinese brands among former foreign brand users, particularly in the small electric vehicle segment [32][49][98]. Competitive Landscape - Major Chinese brands such as BYD, Wuling, and Geely are expected to dominate the market, with BYD projected to exceed 3 million units in sales by 2025 [20][17][98]. - The report highlights that foreign brands like Volkswagen and Toyota are struggling to compete effectively against the rise of Chinese small electric vehicles, which are expected to capture a significant portion of the market by 2026 [21][68][98]. Cost Advantages - The total cost advantage of small electric vehicles over traditional internal combustion engine vehicles is a key factor driving their popularity, with significant savings in lifecycle costs [78][79][98]. - As the small electric vehicle supply chain matures, foreign brands are also expected to benefit from reduced manufacturing costs, although they still face challenges in competing with the pricing of Chinese brands [86][88][98].