Investment Focus - The report emphasizes that both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are in an upward trend with a phase of consolidation, indicating a healthier market environment [1][35] - The first trading week of February showed signs of stabilization in A-shares with reduced turnover, while the Hang Seng TECH Index experienced a decline of approximately 6.5% [1][35] Market Outlook - The report is optimistic about a potential recovery in the Chinese equity market leading up to the Spring Festival, driven by proactive policy support and a stabilizing "policy put" below 4,100 points for the Shanghai Composite [2][36] - The overall short-selling turnover in Hong Kong is around 19%, with the Hang Seng TECH Index seeing a quick rebound in short-selling turnover to 21%, suggesting a potential for a near-term rebound [2][36] - Strategic investors, particularly insurers, are increasing their exposure to Chinese equities due to the low risk-free yield in China, making equities more attractive compared to bonds and real estate [2][36] Investment Strategy - The recommended strategy is to remain invested through the holiday, taking advantage of the Spring Festival "red-envelope" rally and using recent market pullbacks as an opportunity to increase exposure [2][37] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on structural investment opportunities within the Chinese equity market [2][37] Sector Focus - The report suggests a focus on technology sectors, particularly commercial aerospace, AI hardware, and sectors benefiting from the "anti-involution" and "going abroad" trends, which are expected to show performance recovery [3][4] - Consumer sectors such as automotive, tourism, and textiles are highlighted as key areas for investment during the Spring Festival [4] - The report also points to the potential for recovery in cyclical industries, including chemicals, engineering machinery, and real estate, as seasonal policies are expected to boost demand [4]
马到功成,持股过节
2026-02-08 12:02