Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 6.8 [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from increasing foreign direct investment and a weakening US dollar, supported by its regulatory moat [1] - The projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for earnings from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 12%, with approximately 30% of profits allocated for dividends [1] - The total capital expenditure for the NagaWorld Phase 3 project may be reduced by half from the original plan of USD 3.5 billion, with an expected payback period of about 4 to 5 years [1] - The company holds a monopoly on gaming operations within a 200-kilometer radius of Phnom Penh, Cambodia, until 2045, with a national gaming license expiring in 2065 [1] - The main visitors to NagaWorld are from Malaysia, Singapore, and China, and the growth in foreign direct investment and the depreciation of the US dollar are anticipated to drive earnings growth [1] - Cambodia has one of the lowest gaming tax rates globally, which supports the company's profitability, and the likelihood of a tax rate increase is considered low [1]
金界控股：首予“跑赢大市”评级，目标价6.8港元-20260212