2025年下半年泰国制造业房地产市场

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for Thailand's manufacturing sector, highlighting strong foreign direct investment (FDI) and robust demand for serviced industrial land plots (SILP) [1][51]. Core Insights - Thailand's FDI reached THB 1.14 trillion across 2,259 projects in H2 2025, with a record high demand for SILP, totaling 12,955 rai sold [1][51]. - The average asking price for SILP increased by 5.0% to THB 6.65 million per rai, reflecting a tightening market with high occupancy rates in ready-built factories (RBF) at 98.4% [2][66]. - Future demand is expected to be robust but more specialized, driven by supply chain relocations and growth in digital and electrical industries, with structural factors becoming more critical for investors [3][79]. Market Overview - Thailand's economy saw a slowdown in Q3 2025, with real GDP growth at 1.2% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter, although external demand and a trade surplus provided some support [8]. - Goods exports rose by 11.5% YoY to USD 86.2 billion, with high-technology manufacturing leading the growth [9]. - Private investment grew by 4.2%, while public investment contracted by 5.3%, indicating a divergence between investment and consumption [10][13]. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) - Cumulative FDI approvals increased significantly from THB 629.6 billion in Q2 to THB 1.14 trillion by the end of 2025, with the digital sector attracting the largest share of investment [24][26]. - The digital sector's capital inflow rose by 71.6%, highlighting a shift towards technology-driven industries [26]. Serviced Industrial Land Plots (SILP) - The total supply of SILP grew by 0.8% H-O-H to 185,498 rai, with the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC) commanding a 63.6% market share [42][49]. - The cumulative sales rate for SILP reached 93.5%, indicating a highly competitive market with limited available inventory [52][56]. Ready-Built Factory (RBF) Market - The RBF market saw a national occupancy rate of 98.4%, with the EEC achieving total utilization at 99.94% [66][72]. - Average rental rates increased to 202.9 THB per sqm, reflecting a landlord's market driven by high demand from sectors like EV and electronics [74]. Structural Shifts in the Market - The industrial property market is transitioning towards more capital-intensive and infrastructure-dependent activities, influenced by trade policies and tariff asymmetries [79][80]. - Developers are increasingly adopting built-to-suit models, reducing speculative development and contributing to supply constraints [82]. Future Outlook - Industrial demand is expected to remain resilient but selective, with ongoing supply chain diversification and digitalization [84]. - Long-term structural constraints in power and infrastructure capacity may impact effective supply, leading to uneven land and rental price growth [84].