资讯日报：伊朗战争刺激美通胀担忧-20260303

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,060, down 2.14% for the day and up 1.67% year-to-date[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell to 4,989, down 2.89% daily and down 9.55% year-to-date[1] - The S&P 500 Index closed at 6,882, with a slight increase of 0.04% for the day and up 0.53% year-to-date[1] Geopolitical Impact - The military strike by the US and Israel on Iran has heightened global financial market risk aversion, leading to significant declines in Hong Kong's three major indices[7] - Major tech stocks, including AI and semiconductor companies, faced heavy losses, with SenseTime down 9.38% and Meituan down 7.99%[7] - Airline stocks plummeted, with China Southern Airlines down 8.33% and Air China down over 5% due to regional airspace closures[7] Sector Performance - Oil and gas equipment stocks surged, with Shandong Molong up nearly 116% and Baqian Oil Services up over 105% due to concerns over energy supply disruptions[7] - Precious metals gained as safe-haven assets, with Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining up over 12%[7] - Coal stocks rose, with China Coal Energy and Yanzhou Coal Mining both up over 3% as geopolitical tensions boosted coal price expectations[7] Economic Outlook - Analysts predict that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for over 25 days, major oil-producing countries in the Middle East could face production risks[7] - Morgan Stanley noted that historical data shows the S&P 500 typically rises by an average of 2%, 6%, and 8% one month, six months, and twelve months after geopolitical events, respectively[10]