宏观经济周报2026年第十一周-20260309

Economic Indicators - The comprehensive prosperity index has decreased to 99.84, indicating a mild fluctuation around the boom-bust line[1] - The consumer prosperity index is at 99.84, slightly down from previous weeks, reflecting a phase of adjustment in consumer momentum[1] - The investment prosperity index has improved to 99.93, showing signs of recovery despite still being in the contraction zone[1] - The export prosperity index stands at 100.03, remaining in the expansion zone, providing support to overall economic prosperity[1] - The production prosperity index has further declined to 99.76, indicating natural fluctuations in production activities[1] PMI Analysis - The manufacturing PMI for February is at 49.0%, down 0.3 percentage points from January's 49.3%[2] - The non-manufacturing PMI has slightly increased to 49.5%, indicating stability in the service sector[2] - The composite PMI output index is at 49.5%, reflecting a slight decline from the previous value of 49.8%[2] - The decrease in PMI is attributed to seasonal disruptions from the extended Spring Festival holiday[2] - High-tech manufacturing PMI remains in the expansion zone at approximately 51.5%, indicating robust performance in new energy sectors[2]