瑞达期货纯苯产业日报-20260319

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - The supply of pure benzene is expected to decline significantly in the future due to the spring maintenance of domestic petroleum benzene enterprises and the reduction of overseas pure benzene production caused by the disruption of raw material supply in the Middle East [2]. - The demand for pure benzene is expected to decline less than the supply, and the domestic supply - demand gap will widen, with high inventories expected to be digested smoothly [2]. - In the short term, BZ2604 is expected to fluctuate with international oil prices due to the high uncertainty of the Middle East situation [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - The closing price of the main contract of pure benzene is 8375 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 221 yuan/ton; the settlement price is 8429 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 145 yuan/ton [2]. - The trading volume of the main contract is 18772 lots, with a week - on - week decrease of 11251 lots; the open interest is 11644 lots, with a week - on - week decrease of 1709 lots [2]. 3.2 Spot Market - The mainstream price of pure benzene in the East China market is 8375 yuan/ton; in the South China market, it is 8200 - 8400 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 85 yuan/ton; in the North China market, it is 7800 yuan/ton; in the Northeast region, it is 7703 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 126 yuan/ton [2]. - The mainstream price of hydrogenated benzene in Jiangsu is 7975 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 25 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, it is 7405 yuan/ton, with no change [2]. - The FOB mid - price of pure benzene in South Korea is 1048 US dollars/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 31 US dollars/ton; the CFR mid - price of pure benzene in China is 1058.3 US dollars/ton, with a week - on - week decrease of 31.35 US dollars/ton [2]. 3.3 Upstream Situation - The spot price of Brent DTD crude oil is 112.77 US dollars/barrel, with a week - on - week increase of 9.32 US dollars/barrel [2]. - The CFR mid - price of naphtha in Japan is 1039.25 US dollars/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 7.25 US dollars/ton [2]. 3.4 Industry Situation - The capacity utilization rate of pure benzene is 74.2%, with a week - on - week decrease of 2.9 percentage points; the weekly output is 43.93 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.4 tons [2]. - The port inventory of pure benzene is 30.2 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.1 tons; the production cost is 6537.8 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 702.3 yuan/ton [2]. - The production profit of pure benzene is 875 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 348 yuan/ton [2]. 3.5 Downstream Situation - The total开工率 of styrene is 71.79%, with a week - on - week decrease of 2.32 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of caprolactam is 74.87%, with no change [2]. - The capacity utilization rate of phenol is 86.87%, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.64 percentage points; the capacity utilization rate of aniline is 89.04%, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.31 percentage points [2]. - The capacity utilization rate of adipic acid is 69%, with a week - on - week decrease of 0.7 percentage points [2]. 3.6 Industry News - From March 6th to 12th, the operating rate of petroleum benzene decreased by 2.36% week - on - week to 74.20%, and the operating rate of hydrogenated benzene increased by 0.4% week - on - week to 63.07% [2]. - From March 7th to 13th, the weighted operating rate of pure benzene downstream decreased by 1.46% week - on - week to 76.27% [2]. - As of March 16th, the inventory of pure benzene in East China ports was 28.8 tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 4.64% [2]. - As of March 13th, the profit of petroleum benzene was 875 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 348 yuan/ton [2].