10 Themes For 2024

Group 1: Market Trends - Japan and India are expected to outperform, with Japan's ROE projected to reach 12% by 2025 due to sustained reflation and rising productivity[27] - The US net liquidity reversal in 2024 may lead to underperformance in US stocks, as 2023 was characterized by higher liquidity than anticipated[27] - The M&A and IPO market is showing signs of revival, with acquirer balance sheets flush with cash, indicating improved market sentiment[27] Group 2: Economic Challenges - Weather and conflict bottlenecks are impacting trade, with 80% of trade flows by sea facing longer journeys, increasing freight rates by over 30%[27] - The renewable energy sector is experiencing a recovery, but sentiment remains low despite the potential for growth in solar and wind energy[27] - Carbon capture technologies are generating renewed investor interest, although previous projects faced delays and challenges[27] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The automotive sector is facing challenges from battery oversupply, but Western OEMs are managing risks effectively[27] - Generative AI companies have outperformed the market by over 40%, with expectations for Edge AI to catch up in 2024[27] - Fintech consolidation is anticipated, driven by renewed interest in cryptocurrencies, which have seen over 50% returns year-to-date[27]