预测报告：稳增长政策持续发力，经济稳步前行

Economic Growth Indicators - Industrial added value is expected to grow by 4.5% year-on-year in January-February 2024, an increase of 2.1 percentage points compared to the same period last year[9] - Fixed asset investment is projected to increase by 3.5% year-on-year in January-February 2024, up by 0.5 percentage points from previous forecasts[54] - Retail sales of consumer goods are anticipated to rise by 8.6% year-on-year in January-February 2024, an increase of 1.2 percentage points from earlier estimates[26] Trade and Import/Export Dynamics - Exports are expected to grow by 3.7% year-on-year in January-February 2024, an increase of 1.5 percentage points from previous forecasts[55] - Imports are projected to rise by 2.6% year-on-year in January-February 2024, up by 2.4 percentage points from earlier estimates[31] Price Trends - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is forecasted to increase by 0.7% year-on-year in February 2024, a rise of 1.5 percentage points from previous data[18] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) is expected to decline by 2.5% year-on-year in February 2024, remaining stable compared to previous forecasts[38] Monetary Policy and Credit - New RMB loans are projected to be 17,800 billion yuan in February 2024, a decrease of 300 billion yuan year-on-year[42] - M2 money supply is expected to grow by 8.6% year-on-year by the end of February 2024, a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points from the previous period[75]