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收单费率上行+海外硬件景气+鸿蒙加速渗透,三维共振
NEWLANDNEWLAND(SZ:000997)2024-03-20 16:00

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "OUTPERFORM" rating to the company with a target price of Rmb30.50 [2]. Core Views - The company is a leader in the digital service sector, focusing on smart terminals, big data processing, and data operation capabilities, providing comprehensive digital solutions across over 100 countries [2][11]. - An upward trend in transaction fees is anticipated due to regulatory tightening and increased compliance costs for payment institutions, which may lead to a more market-oriented payment ecosystem [2]. - The company has accelerated its overseas localization strategy, achieving the highest global shipment volume of payment devices in 2022, with overseas revenue accounting for 74% of total income in the first three quarters of 2023 [2][25]. - The company is actively involved in the digital RMB ecosystem and has embraced open-source Harmony, enhancing its market position and technological innovation [2][11]. - Profit forecasts indicate significant growth in net profit for 2023, 2024, and 2025, with expected year-on-year increases of 363.45%, 24.75%, and 20.14% respectively [2][3]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 1994, aims to be a pioneer in digital China construction, focusing on digital RMB and trusted digital identity as key development directions [11][12]. - It has developed a core competitive system based on digitalization, internationalization, and ecological integration [11]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of Rmb10.06 billion, Rmb12.55 billion, and Rmb15.07 billion for 2023, 2024, and 2025 respectively, with corresponding EPS of Rmb0.97, Rmb1.22, and Rmb1.46 [2][3]. - Revenue for 2023 is projected to be Rmb8.546 billion, reflecting a 16% year-on-year growth [3]. Market Position - The company holds a significant market share in the global POS device market, with a 2022 shipment volume of 148.3 million units, representing an increase of 4.5% year-on-year [25][35]. - The company has established a strong presence in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Europe, enhancing its local service capabilities [2][11]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on integrating digital RMB and open-source Harmony into its business model, which is expected to create new industry opportunities [2][11]. - It has made significant investments in R&D and has a robust patent portfolio, positioning itself as a leader in technology innovation within the industry [11][12].