Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HK 6.13 [2][11]. Core Insights - The company, 英恒科技 (01760.HK), experienced a decline in gross margin by 2.9 percentage points year-on-year to 18.7%, which was below expectations and significantly lower than the average gross margin [2]. - The slowdown in revenue growth was noted across various business segments, with the new energy segment remaining the primary revenue contributor, while the intelligent driving network was identified as the main growth driver [2]. - The company has faced intense competition, leading to a shift in pricing strategy to cope with market pressures, resulting in a gross margin of only 17.1% for the second half of the fiscal year 2023 [2]. - The report indicates a significant reduction in profit forecasts by approximately 51% to 58% due to the challenges faced, including low gross margins and high R&D expenditures [2]. Financial Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, the company achieved total revenue of RMB 5.8 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.1% [11]. - The projected revenues for the upcoming years are RMB 6.84 billion in 2024, RMB 7.52 billion in 2025, and RMB 8.17 billion in 2026, with respective growth rates of 17.9%, 10.0%, and 8.6% [15]. - The net profit for 2023 is projected to decline by 24.0%, with further reductions expected in 2024 and 2025 [15]. Operational Challenges - The company is experiencing increased operational capital pressure due to rising financing costs and a longer cash conversion cycle, which has led to a higher net debt-to-equity ratio of 48.1% [2][14]. - The report highlights that the company has not seen signs of improvement in the first quarter of 2024 amidst ongoing price wars in the downstream market [2]. Market Position - The company is positioned within a highly competitive landscape, with significant pressure on product pricing and profit margins due to aggressive competition in the automotive sector [4][22]. - The report notes that the company’s pricing strategy has been adjusted to "cost + ~20%" but has not yielded significant changes in market conditions [2]. Conclusion - Overall, the report reflects a cautious outlook on the company's performance, emphasizing the need for strategic adjustments to navigate the challenging market environment while maintaining a "Buy" rating based on potential recovery and growth opportunities [2].
營運情況不容落觀