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每日市场观察
Caida Securities·2024-03-25 16:00

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index opened higher but closed slightly down, with support found near the 5-day moving average, indicating potential upward movement towards the 3100-point mark in the near term [3][4] - On March 21, the market experienced fluctuations with all three major indices slightly declining, while sectors such as low-altitude economy and AI applications showed strong performance [4][18] - The overall market sentiment was mixed, with over 2900 stocks declining, highlighting a predominance of downward movement among individual stocks [4] Economic Indicators - In the first two months of the year, manufacturing investment growth accelerated by 9.4% year-on-year, outpacing overall investment growth by 5.2 percentage points, serving as a crucial support for economic stability [7] - National public budget revenue for January-February was reported at 4.46 trillion yuan, reflecting a 2.3% year-on-year decline, but a comparable growth of approximately 2.5% when adjusted for comparable standards [8] Industry Dynamics - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasized the need to accelerate the development of new productive forces and modern industrial systems, focusing on innovation and the growth of leading enterprises [6][20] - The gaming industry saw a significant increase, with Chinese mobile game companies generating a total revenue of 2.03 billion USD in February, representing a 3.6% month-on-month increase [10][24] Fund Dynamics - New funds have been rapidly building positions, indicating institutional optimism about future market performance, with several newly established funds achieving notable returns [12][32] - Despite the overall recovery in fund performance, public fund of funds (FOF) face challenges in scaling, with many struggling to reach the 200 million yuan threshold [26][31] Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China highlighted the effectiveness of its monetary policy transmission compared to foreign central banks, maintaining a reasonable credit growth rate to support high-quality economic development [22][39]