Industry Investment Rating - The industry is rated as Recommended by the research report, indicating a positive outlook for the computer and AI sectors [1] Core Views - AI applications are transitioning from the cognitive phase to industrial penetration, with industries increasingly embracing AI technology [1] - Four main commercialization paths for AI capabilities are identified: MaaS (Model as a Service), SaaS (Software as a Service), solutions and deployment, and traffic monetization [1][8] - MaaS is expected to become the dominant business model by 2027, with its market share projected to grow from 5% in 2023 to 47% by 2027 [1] - SaaS subscription models are gaining traction, especially in B2B sectors, with 71.05% of AI SaaS applications adopting subscription-based pricing [1][8] - Traffic monetization focuses on capturing long-tail C-end users and new users, with the AIGC advertising market in China expected to grow 10x by 2030 [2] MaaS (Model as a Service) - MaaS lowers the barrier for SMEs to adopt AI, with major players like OpenAI, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent offering flexible pricing models [1][8] - The MaaS market is expected to grow significantly, with its share in the AIGC market projected to increase from 13% in 2023 to 47% by 2027 [11] - Major players are reducing prices to cultivate user habits and ecosystems, with Alibaba Cloud reducing prices by up to 85% and Baidu offering free tokens [1][18] - The cost of training large models like GPT-4 is estimated at $78 million, with scaling laws driving non-linear cost increases as model parameters grow [13][14] SaaS (Software as a Service) - SaaS subscription models are dominant, with 71.05% of AI SaaS applications adopting this model, particularly in B2B sectors [1][8] - AI-driven SaaS applications are accelerating the shift from licensing to subscription models, with companies like Foxit Software seeing subscription revenue grow from 21.2% in 2022 to 35.4% in 2023 [1][37] - B2B SaaS applications are monetizing faster than C-end applications, with 50% of B2B AI SaaS applications using subscription models [30] - C-end SaaS applications, such as Character.ai, are leveraging personalized interactions and community features to enhance user stickiness and monetization [31][32] Solutions and Deployment - Customized solutions for large B/G-end clients are driving growth, with 49% of large model procurement in 2023 coming from B-end demand [1] - Companies like Zhongkong Technology and Chinasoft International are leveraging AI to reduce costs and improve efficiency in industrial applications [1][55] - The average project budget for large model procurement increased to 6.18 million RMB in 2023, reflecting growing demand for AI solutions [1] Traffic Monetization - Traffic monetization focuses on capturing long-tail C-end users, with the AIGC advertising market in China projected to reach 150 billion RMB by 2030 [2] - Companies like ASK.AI are leveraging single-point tools to attract traffic and monetize through advertising, with more ad spending expected to shift to AI applications [2] - The AIGC advertising market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing adoption of AI tools in marketing and content generation [2] Key Companies and Their Strategies - Baidu: Baidu Cloud's MaaS+BaaS model has achieved a 99% core customer retention rate in 2023, with AI cloud revenue growing by 8% [25] - Alibaba: Alibaba Cloud reduced prices for its Qwen series models by up to 85%, aiming to accelerate industry adoption [18][20] - Tencent: Tencent's Hunyuan model reduced API prices by up to 87.5%, with plans to expand token limits to 256k [18] - Foxit Software: Foxit's subscription revenue grew by 73.3% in Q1 2024, with ARR reaching 281 million RMB [41] - Wondershare: Wondershare's subscription renewal rate increased by 5 percentage points in 2023, with monthly active users growing by 30% in the creative drawing segment [1][40] - Kingsoft Office: WPS AI has driven subscription growth, with cumulative annual paying users exceeding 1 million by 2026 [1][54]
AI应用大航海:4种变现路径及定价对比
方正证券·2024-10-28 02:00