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游戏引擎龙头,积极拓宽业务边界,顺应AI浪潮前进

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Unity (U.US) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of 31,indicatingapotentialupsideof1931, indicating a potential upside of 19% from the current price of 26.05 [14][44]. Core Insights - Unity is a leading player in the game engine market, holding approximately 70% market share in mobile games and expanding into industries beyond gaming, such as architecture, automotive, and aerospace, which currently contributes 23% to its Create Solutions revenue [3][33]. - The integration of AI technologies, particularly through the Unity editor, is expected to enhance product competitiveness and drive long-term growth [4][16]. - The company's growth solutions, which include advertising networks and game publishing services, accounted for 61% of revenue in 2023, showcasing a strong network effect and data advantage [15][16]. Summary by Sections Game Engine Market Leadership - Unity dominates the game engine market with a significant presence in mobile gaming, where 70% of the top 1000 mobile games are developed using Unity [10][11]. - The company has a market share of approximately 50% on PC and 40% on consoles, with a 90% share in the AR headset market [10]. AIGC Impact on Content Development - The report suggests that AIGC (AI-Generated Content) will complement traditional content creation tools rather than compete with them, enhancing efficiency in the development process [4][41]. - Unity has integrated AI capabilities into its editor, allowing for proprietary model training and support for third-party AI models, which is expected to benefit the company in the long run [4][41]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 1.39billioninFY22to1.39 billion in FY22 to 2.29 billion by FY26, with a notable increase in adjusted EBITDA from -71millioninFY23to71 million in FY23 to 758 million by FY26 [9][17]. - The report anticipates a shift towards profitability, with operating losses decreasing from -882millioninFY22to882 million in FY22 to -103 million by FY26 [9][17]. Valuation Analysis - The target price of 31correspondstoa6.5xP/SratioforFY24E,reflectingconfidenceinUnitysmarketpositionandgrowthpotential[16][17].ThereporthighlightsthatUnitysupcomingUnity6productisexpectedtoenhanceperformanceandsupportfornewtechnologies,contributingtorevenuegrowththroughthenewlyintroducedRuntimeFeemodel[30][61].BusinessFocusandStrategyUnityisfocusingoncorebusinessareas:engine,cloud,andmonetization,aimingtoachievethe"Ruleof40"bytheendoftheyear,whichcombinesrevenuegrowthandprofitability[76].Thecompanyplanstoexitnonstrategicbusinessesthatcontributed31 corresponds to a 6.5x P/S ratio for FY24E, reflecting confidence in Unity's market position and growth potential [16][17]. - The report highlights that Unity's upcoming Unity 6 product is expected to enhance performance and support for new technologies, contributing to revenue growth through the newly introduced Runtime Fee model [30][61]. Business Focus and Strategy - Unity is focusing on core business areas: engine, cloud, and monetization, aiming to achieve the "Rule of 40" by the end of the year, which combines revenue growth and profitability [76]. - The company plans to exit non-strategic businesses that contributed 283 million in revenue, allowing for a more concentrated effort on high-margin SaaS subscriptions and other growth areas [76].