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荣泰健康:2024Q1业绩超预期,高比例分红提振股东信心

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [18][22]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.855 billion yuan in 2023, a decrease of 7.47%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 203 million yuan, an increase of 23.43% [2][19]. - For Q4 2023, the company reported a revenue of 557 million yuan, a growth of 25.84%, and a net profit of 51 million yuan, up by 32.19% [2]. - The company expects a net profit for Q1 2024 to be between 59 to 65 million yuan, representing a growth of 58.00% to 72.22% [2]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.35 billion yuan, with a dividend rate of 66.44%, reflecting a high dividend yield of 5.03% [2][18]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 2.245 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 21.00%, and net profits of 257 million yuan, with a growth rate of 26.55% [19]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is 1.85 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11.85 for 2024, 9.72 for 2025, and 8.21 for 2026 [19][18]. - The gross profit margin for Q4 2023 was 28.42%, an increase of 1.40 percentage points, indicating improved profitability [2]. Market and Industry Outlook - The report highlights a positive outlook for the massage equipment market, driven by increasing health demands and supportive policies for the elderly care industry [18]. - The company is expanding its overseas customer base and optimizing its product structure, which is expected to enhance revenue growth [18]. - The company is also investing in research and development, completing 15 projects in 2023, and is planning to establish a factory in Thailand to mitigate trade uncertainties [2][18].