Workflow
医药行业国产自免单品商业化元年:百舸争流,千帆竞发
2024-04-25 06:00

Industry Overview - The autoimmune disease (AID) market is the second-largest drug market globally, with a significant patient base requiring lifelong treatment [2] - Autoimmune diseases affect approximately 7.6% to 9.4% of the global population, with over 100 different types identified [4] - The global autoimmune drug market was valued at 1323billionin2022,withbiologicsaccountingfor72.91323 billion in 2022, with biologics accounting for 72.9% of the market share [11] Market Growth and Trends - The global autoimmune drug market is projected to reach 1767 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 3.7% from 2022 to 2030 [11] - Biologics are expected to dominate the market, increasing their share to 81% by 2030 [11] - Psoriasis, rheumatoid arthritis, and asthma are the top three indications by market size, with psoriasis expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.4% from 2020 to 2030 [12] Key Therapeutic Areas - Psoriasis: The global market is expected to grow from 253billionin2020to253 billion in 2020 to 515 billion by 2030, driven by biologics targeting TNF-α, IL-17, and IL-23 [12] - Atopic Dermatitis: The market is projected to grow from 126billionin2020to126 billion in 2020 to 232 billion by 2030, with JAK and IL-4R inhibitors leading the way [12] - Rheumatoid Arthritis: The market is expected to grow from 230billionin2020to230 billion in 2020 to 378 billion by 2030, with TNF-α and JAK inhibitors remaining key players [12] China Market Dynamics - China's autoimmune drug market is in its early stages, with a market size of 36billionin2022,expectedtogrowto36 billion in 2022, expected to grow to 247 billion by 2030 at a CAGR of 27.2% [16] - Biologics penetration in China is low, but rapid growth is expected as more drugs are approved and covered by insurance [16] - Key areas of growth in China include psoriasis, systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and atopic dermatitis, with CAGRs of 29.0%, 28.0%, and 21.1%, respectively [16] Key Players and Drugs - Adalimumab (TNF-α) remains the top-selling autoimmune drug globally, with 212.4billioninsalesin2022[8]Dupilumab(IL4Rα)andUstekinumab(IL12/IL23)arealsotopperformers,withsalesof212.4 billion in sales in 2022 [8] - Dupilumab (IL-4Rα) and Ustekinumab (IL-12/IL-23) are also top performers, with sales of 97.2 billion and $97.2 billion, respectively, in 2022 [8] - In China, companies like Hengrui Medicine, Innovent Biologics, and CSPC Pharmaceutical are leading in the development of IL-17, IL-23, and JAK inhibitors [20] Emerging Therapies and Innovations - New therapies targeting IL-4, IL-13, OX40, and TSLP are in development, with potential to address unmet needs in atopic dermatitis and asthma [32] - Oral JAK inhibitors like Upadacitinib and Abrocitinib are gaining traction, offering faster response times compared to biologics [22] - Combination therapies, such as IL-4/IL-13/TSLP trispecific antibodies, are being explored to improve efficacy and expand indications [33] Market Challenges and Opportunities - Price and accessibility are critical factors for the adoption of autoimmune drugs in China, with insurance coverage playing a key role in driving sales [17] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with both domestic and international companies vying for market share in China's rapidly growing autoimmune drug market [16] - Companies with strong R&D pipelines and the ability to quickly bring innovative therapies to market are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for autoimmune treatments [19]